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USA Today Sports Media Group
USA Today Sports Media Group
Sport
John Sigler

Every NFL team’s playoff odds going into Week 16 (including the Saints)

We’re moving quickly now with the end of the NFL regular season in sight, and the playoff picture is rapidly taking shape. Some teams have already clinched a postseason berth. But there are still many teams in the hunt for a coveted playoff seed.

So what do their chances look like? What are the New Orleans Saints’ playoff odds, and those of every other team? Here’s a look at all 32 squads with odds from the New York Times NFL playoff simulator:

32
Carolina Panthers (2-12)

The Carolina Panthers logo and Nike logo are seen in detail on the shoulder of a player after an NFL football game against the Houston Texans, Thursday, Sept. 23, 2021, in Houston. (AP Photo/Matt Patterson)

0%

31
New England Patriots (3-11)

FOXBOROUGH, MASSACHUSETTS – OCTOBER 08: Head coach Bill Belichick of the New England Patriots reacts during the fourth quarter against the New Orleans Saints at Gillette Stadium on October 08, 2023 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. (Photo by Winslow Townson/Getty Images)

0%

30
Arizona Cardinals (3-11)

CLEVELAND, OHIO – NOVEMBER 05: An Arizona Cardinals fan celebrates after a play during the third quarter of the game against the Cleveland Browns at Cleveland Browns Stadium on November 05, 2023 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)

0%

29
Washington Commanders (4-10)

Dec 3, 2023; Landover, Maryland, USA; Washington Commanders head coach Ron Rivera (L) looks on from the sidelines against the Miami Dolphins during the fourth quarter at FedExField. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

0%

28
New York Jets (5-9)

Dec 3, 2023; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Jets quarterback Trevor Siemian (14) enters the game during the fourth quarter against the Atlanta Falcons at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

0%

27
Tennessee Titans (5-9)

PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA – NOVEMBER 02: Tennessee Titans head coach Mike Vrabel and Tyjae Spears #32 of the Tennessee Titans react to a play in the first half against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium on November 02, 2023 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images)

0%

26
Los Angeles Chargers (5-9)

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI – SEPTEMBER 15: Los Angeles Chargers fans in the stands before the game against the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on September 15, 2022 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

<1%

25
New York Giants (5-9)

Dec 17, 2023; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; New York Giants defensive tackle Jordon Riley (95) warms up before the game against the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

1%

24
Las Vegas Raiders (6-8)

Jan 9, 2022; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Las Vegas Raiders defensive end Maxx Crosby (98) celebrates after a play against the Los Angeles Chargers during the second half at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

2%

23
Chicago Bears (5-9)

NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA – NOVEMBER 05: D’Onta Foreman #21 of the Chicago Bears reacts during the third quarter in the game against the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome on November 05, 2023 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

2%

22
Pittsburgh Steelers (7-7)

Nov 19, 2023; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Kenny Pickett (8) rolls on the ground after sliding to avoid a tackle by the Cleveland Browns during the second quarter at Cleveland Browns Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Scott Galvin-USA TODAY Sports

4%

21
Atlanta Falcons (6-8)

Nov 26, 2023; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Falcons defensive tackle Albert Huggins (94) linebacker Nate Landman (53) and safety Jessie Bates III (3) go after a fumble by New Orleans Saints quarterback Taysom Hill (7) (not shown) during the second half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

7%

20
Denver Broncos (7-7)

DENVER, COLORADO – OCTOBER 29: Russell Wilson #3 of the Denver Broncos talks with head coach Sean Payton of the Denver Broncos during the fourth quarter of a game against the Kansas City Chiefs at Empower Field At Mile High on October 29, 2023 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)

23%

19
Green Bay Packers (6-8)

DETROIT, MICHIGAN – NOVEMBER 23: Christian Watson #9 of the Green Bay Packers celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Detroit Lions during the third quarter of the game at Ford Field on November 23, 2023 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

23%

18
Cincinnati Bengals (8-6)

Nov 5, 2023; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Bengals fans cheer on their team in the first quarter against the Buffalo Bills at Paycor Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kareem Elgazzar-USA TODAY Sports

37%

17
New Orleans Saints (7-7)

Dec 17, 2023; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; New Orleans Saints quarterback Derek Carr (4) gestures during the first half against the New York Giants at Caesars Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

41%

16
Seattle Seahawks (7-7)

Nov 23, 2023; Seattle, Washington, USA; Seattle Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll stands on the sideline during the fourth quarter against the San Francisco 49ers at Lumen Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

45%

15
Los Angeles Rams (7-7)

Dec 3, 2023; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua (17) celebrates with wide receiver Demarcus Robinson (15) and wide receiver Cooper Kupp (10) against the Cleveland Browns in the second half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

49%

14
Minnesota Vikings (7-7)

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA – NOVEMBER 12: Joshua Dobbs #15 of the Minnesota Vikings celebrates his touchdown with teammate Alexander Mattison #2 against the New Orleans Saints during the second quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium on November 12, 2023 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)

53%

13
Indianapolis Colts (8-6)

CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA – NOVEMBER 05: Kenny Moore II #23 of the Indianapolis Colts walks off the field after the game against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium on November 05, 2023 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)

53%

12
Houston Texans (8-6)

Dec 3, 2023; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Texans cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. (24) reacts after a play during the fourth quarter against the Denver Broncos at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

55%

11
Buffalo Bills (8-6)

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) hands off to running back James Cook (4) in the second quarter of the NFL Week 9 game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Buffalo Bills at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati on Sunday, Nov. 5, 2023. Sam Greene/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK

69%

10
Jacksonville Jaguars (8-6)

Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) yells after wide receiver Christian Kirk (13), not shown, caught a pass for a touchdown score during the second quarter of an NFL football matchup Sunday, Oct. 15, 2023 at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fla. The Jacksonville Jaguars defeated the Indianapolis Colts 37-20. Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Union / USA TODAY NETWORK

71%

9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7)

Dec 3, 2023; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Chris Godwin (14) celebrates after he scored a touchdown against the Carolina Panthers during the second half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports

78%

8
Cleveland Browns (9-5)

Nov 5, 2023; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Browns defensive end Myles Garrett (95) breaks a block from Arizona Cardinals offensive tackle D.J. Humphries (74) during the fourth quarter at Cleveland Browns Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Scott Galvin-USA TODAY Sports

88%

7
Miami Dolphins (10-4)

Oct 15, 2023; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) throws the football during warmups prior to the game against the Carolina Panthers at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

88%

6
Kansas City Chiefs (9-5)

Oct 29, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Fans of the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos cheer in the first half at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

>99%

5
Detroit Lions (10-4)

DETROIT, MICHIGAN – NOVEMBER 19: Head coach Dan Campbell of the Detroit Lions reacts during the second half of a game against the Chicago Bears at Ford Field on November 19, 2023 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

>99%

4
Dallas Cowboys (10-4)

Nov 23, 2023; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys wide receiver KaVontae Turpin (9) eats a turkey leg as tight end Jake Ferguson (87) feeds him in the fourth quarter against the Washington Commanders at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

100%

3
Philadelphia Eagles (10-4)

Nov 5, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) reacts after a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys during the first quarter at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

100%

2
Baltimore Ravens (11-3)

Oct 22, 2023; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens running back Gus Edwards (35) celebrates his touchdown with quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) during the second quarter against the Detroit Lions at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

100%

1
San Francisco 49ers (11-3)

Nov 23, 2023; Seattle, Washington, USA; San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (23) walks to the locker room following a 31-13 victory against the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

100%

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