Following a tough loss to South Carolina, ESPN’s Football Power Index re-worked their projections for Georgia’s remaining 2019 schedule. Prior to the Dawgs loss, the system projected Georgia to go 10-2, with a 2.5% chance of winning out and a 27.1% chance of winning the conference.
Here’s a look at Georgia’s updated odds to win their remaining games.
Vs Kentucky: 93.9% chance to win (previously 94.7%)
Vs Florida*: 65.3% chance to win (previously 71%)
Vs Missouri: 79.9% chance to win (previously 84.6%)
At Auburn: 46% chance to win (previously 53.6%)
Vs Texas A&M: 82.4% chance to win (previously 86.1%)
At Georgia Tech: 98% chance to win (previously 98.6%)
The Dawgs now have a 6% chance of winning out (previously 9.5%), a 13.9% chance of winning the SEC (previously 27.5%) and have the 14th hardest schedule remaining in college football (previously 15th).
The 6% chance of winning out goes hand-in-hand with the Dawgs chances of claiming back a playoff spot. One SEC loss on the season would leave UGA in the position to win the SEC Championship and get in to the CFB Playoff.
These odds don’t look bad for #10 Georgia, with the toughest games in the way of winning out being #9 Florida on November 2nd and #11 Auburn on November 16th, both likely to be primetime matchups.
Even with these chances to win, the Bulldogs cannot take any team lightly. Georgia had an 89.1% chance to win against South Carolina, and we all know how that ended up. The Dawgs will need to hunker down and win out if they want a legit chance to steal back a playoff spot.
