Tensions continue to escalate between Iran and Pakistan, as both countries respond to recent attacks. Lieutenant General Keith Kellogg, former National Security Advisor under Vice President Mike Pence, warns that the situation is treacherous and likely to widen as the Iranians become increasingly emboldened.
Kellogg points out that Iran's recent actions, such as attacks in Balochistan, highlight their ability to influence actions throughout the region without facing any significant pushback. This lack of control on the part of the Iranians necessitates a major shift in how they operate if any meaningful change is to occur.
Kellogg refers to a concept in national security known as an escalation ladder, emphasizing the need for the United States to increase its response in order to deter further attacks. He suggests that the current level of action by the US, as acknowledged by the President himself, is insufficient to curb Iranian aggression. Without a stronger stance, groups like the Houthis, Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Iranians themselves will continue to be emboldened, leading to a continuous cycle of provocations and retaliation.
The situation becomes even more precarious as both Iran and Pakistan engage in tit-for-tat attacks. However, Kellogg highlights that some of these attacks are occurring in virtually uninhabited areas, indicating their symbolic nature in showcasing Iran's regional influence rather than causing widespread damage or casualties.
To de-escalate the situation, Kellogg emphasizes the importance of restraining Iranian aggression through a more forceful response. He suggests that the current approach of the United States, which involves limited action, will not be effective in curbing Iranian activities. The ongoing attacks by groups such as the Houthis serve as further evidence of Iran's growing confidence and ability to act with impunity.
The evolving situation demands a concerted effort from the international community to address the root causes of Iranian aggression. Without imposing significant consequences, Iran will likely continue challenging regional stability and security. As the situation continues to unfold, it remains crucial for world leaders to work towards finding a peaceful resolution that effectively prevents further escalation and allows for stability in the region.
