Get all your news in one place.
100’s of premium titles.
One app.
Start reading
Daily Mirror
Daily Mirror
National
Abigail O'Leary & Talia Shadwell

England's Covid R-rate may now be above 1.0 but pandemic is still shrinking

England's 'R' rate range has risen very slightly to 0.8-1.1 but the pandemic is still shrinking nationally, according to official figures.

The transmission rate nationally is up very slightly from 0.8-1 compared to this time last week.

London, the East of England, the Midlands, the South East and the North East and Yorkshire could now all have have an R-rate above 1 - meaning infections are on the rise, the latest data shows.

This estimate is provided by the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) and the Department for Health and Social Care (DHSC).

An R value between 0.8 and 1.1 means that, on average, every 10 people infected will infect between 8 and 11 other people.

A growth rate of between -4% and -1% means that the number of new infections is shrinking by between 1% and 4% every day.

The coronavirus reproduction number, or R value, in England is between 0.8 and 1.1, according to the latest Government figures.

Last week, the figure was between 0.8 and 1.

Sage has said that R estimates now span 1 for England and some NHS England regions.

But it added these estimates do not necessarily mean R is definitively above 1 and that the epidemic is increasing, just that the uncertainty means it cannot be ruled out.

The vaccine rollout is having a notable effect on the numbers of people being hospitalised with Covid-19, the study says (PA)

Here’s what the R rate is in each region of England

In England, the R rate is 0.8 to 1.1

East of England – 0.8 to 1.1

London – 0.8 to 1.1

Midlands – 0.7 to 1.0

North-east and Yorkshire – 8 to 1.0

North-west – 0.7 to 0.9

South-east – 8 to 1.0

South west – 8 to 1.2

The UK continues to emerge from the country's third national lockdown (Getty Images)

The latest r rate figures come after a leading scientist said the UK is "past the pandemic" as the risk of catching coronavirus drops to as low as 1 in 40,000.

Prof Tim Spector, an epidemiologist at King’s College London, said the country was moving into an "endemic" period and urged people to become "more relaxed and less stressed out".

He told Sky: "We are better than we were and we have one of the lowest rates in Europe and its's till dropping.

"It's showing the damage risk of have symptomatic COVID is really low at the moment- we estimate as low as one in 40,000.

"I think it looks like at the moment we are past that pandemic period and moving into endemic where we get low levels of infection and occasion outbreaks that don't spread to the rest of the population.

Sign up to read this article
Read news from 100’s of titles, curated specifically for you.
Already a member? Sign in here
Related Stories
Top stories on inkl right now
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
Already a member? Sign in here
Our Picks
Fourteen days free
Download the app
One app. One membership.
100+ trusted global sources.