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Dubai, Abu Dhabi Face Potential Risks Amid Rising Gulf Tensions, Warns Jeffrey Sachs

In an interview with ANI, Sachs highlighted the structural vulnerability of these cities, describing them as global tourism and financial hubs rather than militarily fortified zones. He warned that their very appeal—luxury, openness, and economic prominence—could become a liability in the event of war.

According to Sachs, the UAE’s strategic alignment with the United States and Israel may prove to be a critical miscalculation. He criticized the country’s participation in the Abraham Accords, arguing that such agreements have increased regional risks instead of ensuring stability. He suggested that Gulf nations have placed excessive trust in American security guarantees, leading to overconfidence in their geopolitical decisions.

Sachs invoked a well-known observation by former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, emphasizing the potential dangers of close alliances with Washington. He argued that relying heavily on US military protection while engaging in high-stakes regional politics could expose countries like the UAE to unintended consequences.

Urging restraint, Sachs advised the UAE to reconsider its current trajectory and avoid further escalation. He stressed the importance of prioritizing national security and reassessing commitments that may deepen involvement in a volatile conflict.

His comments coincide with increasingly strong rhetoric from Iran. On March 20, Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs warned regional countries against allowing the United States to use their territory for military operations against Iran. The ministry described such actions as a primary driver of regional instability and cautioned that nations hosting US bases could face repercussions if those facilities are used in attacks.

At the same time, several Gulf states have condemned Iran’s strikes on energy infrastructure, signaling closer alignment with the United States as tensions continue to rise.

As diplomatic and military pressures mount, the situation underscores the fragile balance in the Gulf region, where economic prosperity and geopolitical strategy are becoming increasingly intertwined.

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