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SCOTT LEHTONEN

Dow Jones Falls On Inflation Data; Tesla Stock Hits New Low Amid Elon Musk Comments

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell Friday after the early release of November's personal consumption expenditures data, an inflation gauge watched closely by the Federal Reserve. Tesla stock reversed lower to hit a new low after Chief Executive Elon Musk said he would not sell any more Tesla shares for at least 18 to 24 months.

Early Friday, key inflation data arrived in the form of the November Personal Consumption Expenditures price index. The PCE price index came in cooler than expected, rising 0.1% in November vs. Econoday's estimates for 0.2% growth vs. October.

Year over year, the PCE price index rose 5.5%, matching estimates. Personal income rose 0.4% in November, higher than estimates.

Meanwhile, the core PCE price index came in hotter than expected, rising 4.7% year over year vs. the 4.6% estimate.

Stock Market Today

Electric-vehicle giant Tesla skidded more than 3% Friday after Musk's comments. Dow Jones tech leaders Apple and Microsoft traded lower after today's stock market open.

MedpaceIBD Leaderboard stock Neurocrine Biosciences, O'Reilly Auto Parts and Texas Roadhouse — as well as Dow Jones names Amgen, Caterpillar and Home Depot — are among the top stocks to consider for investor watchlists. Keep in mind the recent market weakness should keep investors on the defensive.

Neurocrine and Texas Roadhouse are IBD Leaderboard stocks. Caterpillar and Medpace were recent IBD Stock Of The Day companies.

IBD's latest newsletter MarketDiem gives you actionable ideas for stocks, options and crypto right in your inbox

Dow Jones Today: Oil Prices, Treasury Yields

After Friday's opening bell and heading into a three-day weekend, the Dow Jones Industrial Average moved down 0.2%, while the S&P 500 fell 0.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite lost 0.7% in morning action. The bond market will close early Friday at 2 p.m. ET.

Among U.S. exchange-traded funds, the Nasdaq 100 tracker Invesco QQQ Trust fell 0.7% and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF moved down 0.4% early Friday.

The 10-year Treasury yield ticked higher 3.72% Friday morning, with the 10-year yield on pace to add to its already strong weekly gains. Meanwhile, U.S. oil prices traded up around 2% Friday, as West Texas Intermediate futures rose above $79 a barrel in morning trade.

Stock Market Rally Under Pressure

On Thursday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.05% and the S&P 500 declined 1.45%. The Nasdaq dumped 2.2% while the small-cap Russell 2000 lost 1.3%.

Thursday's The Big Picture column commented, "IBD's stock market outlook remains at 'uptrend under pressure' following sharp losses in recent sessions. That means investors should be maintaining cautious and defensive stances, with an already reduced market exposure. IBD readers should be avoiding most breakouts, unless they occur in stocks with top-notch fundamentals and technicals."

Now is an important time to read IBD's The Big Picture column amid the ongoing stock market volatility.

Five Dow Jones Stocks To Buy And Watch Now

Dow Jones Stocks To Watch: Amgen, Caterpillar, Home Depot

Drugmaker Amgen is building a new flat base following a big advance into the middle of November. But shares are below their 50-day line after sharp losses in recent weeks. For now, the correct buy point is 296.77, but the stock needs to decisively retake its 50-day first. AMGN stock traded down 0.4% Friday.

Dow Jones member Caterpillar broke out past a 239.95 buy point in a flat base this week, according to IBD MarketSmith pattern recognition, but is back below the entry following Thursday's slide. Bullishly, the stock's relative strength line, a key technical indicator, is at new highs. CAT stock rose 0.5% Friday.

CAT stock shows a strong 98 out of a perfect 99 IBD Composite Rating, per the IBD Stock Checkup. The Composite Rating is designed to help investors easily find top growth stocks.

Home improvement retailer Home Depot is about 4% below a cup-with-handle base's 329.77 buy point after reversing last week's breakout move. HD stock traded down 0.6% Friday morning.

4 Top Growth Stocks To Watch In The Current Stock Market Rally

Top Stocks To Watch: Medpace, Neurocrine, O'Reilly, Texas Roadhouse

Medpace bounced sharply from its 50-day line this week, rising for a third straight day Thursday. For now, the correct buy point looms at 235.82, but an earlier entry at 220.09 is also in play. MEDP stock was down 0.3% Friday.

IBD Leaderboard stock Neurocrine rallied for a fifth straight session Thursday, gaining 1.7% and continuing to rebound from support at its 50-day level. A strong rebound is bullish for the stock's immediate prospects and the stock is likely forming the right side of a new base. NBIX stock was up 0.3% Friday.

O'Reilly Auto Parts is also finding much-needed support at its 50-day line this week and remains squarely above a 750.98 flat-base entry. A big rebound off the 50-day line could bring a follow-on entry point, but the market uptrend is under pressure right now, which increases the risk of buying stocks. ORLY shares were down 0.1% Friday.

Texas Roadhouse shows a new buy point at 101.85 in a flat base, but is now consolidating below its 50-day line. The IBD Leaderboard stock will look to recover that key benchmark over the coming days, and Thursday's upside reversal was a promising start. TXRH stock traded slightly higher Friday morning.

Stocks To Watch

These are five top stocks to watch in today's stock market, including three Dow Jones leaders.

Company Name Symbol Correct Buy Point Type Of Base
Medpace 235.82 Consolidation
Texas Roadhouse 101.85 Flat base
Caterpillar 239.95 Flat base
Home Depot 329.77 Cup with handle
Amgen 296.77 Flat base
Source: IBD Data As Of Dec. 22, 2022

Join IBD experts as they analyze leading stocks in the current stock market rally on IBD Live

Tesla Stock Hits New Low On Elon Musk Comments

Tesla stock plunged 8.9% Thursday, extending a losing streak to five sessions and hitting another 52-week low. Shares reversed from early gains to fall more than 3% Friday, hitting a new low at 121.02. Late Thursday, Musk pledged to not sell any more Tesla stock for at least 18 to 24 months.

"You certainly have my commitment I won't sell stock until, I don't know, probably two years from now. Definitely not next year under any circumstances and probably not the year thereafter," Musk commented on a Twitter Spaces call. Musk also said that a decision on a buyback of the company's stock could be influenced by the severity of any economic downturn.

"The board is very open to doing a buyback," Musk said. He added, "It wouldn't be smart to do a buyback and then discover the recession is worse than 2009."

Meanwhile, Wedbush slashed its price target the electric-vehicle giant, lowering the target from 250 to 175 due to "demand cracks." The brokerage maintained its outperform rating on the stock. The lowered price target is almost 40% above Tesla's closing prices on Thursday.

Canaccord also lowered its price target, to 275 from 304, and kept its buy rating on the stock.

On Thursday, TSLA stock hit a new 52-week low, trading as low as 122.26. Shares closed about 69% off their 52-week high.

Dow Jones Leaders: Apple, Microsoft

Among Dow Jones stocks, Apple shares sold off 2.4% Thursday, closing just shy of their 52-week low, which was set on June 16 at 129.04. The stock is around 28% off its 52-week high. Shares traded down 1.5% Friday.

Microsoft stock declined 2.55% Thursday, ending a two-day win streak, but holding above the 50-day line. The software giant remains about 30% off its 52-week high. MSFT stock moved down 1.2% early Friday.

Be sure to follow Scott Lehtonen on Twitter at @IBD_SLehtonen for more on growth stocks and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

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