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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World
Daniel Nasaw

Don't believe the hype

A new New York Times/CBS poll shows Hillary Clinton with a commanding lead over Barack Obama in New Hampshire, 37% to 22%. Now might be a good opportunity to remind folks that for all its hype, the New Hampshire primary winner doesn't always win that party's nomination. Read on...

In reverse chronological order, New Hampshire winners who ultimately lost the nomination fight:

2000 - John McCain (R) 1996 - Pat Buchanan (R) 1992 - Paul Tsongas (D) 1984 - Gary Hart (D) 1972 - Ed Muskie (D)

Thus, in five out of the 18 most recent presidential primaries (both parties included), the New Hampshire winner didn't take the nomination. If we count only open races with no incumbent president in the primary, it's five out of 11.

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