Leeds United have enjoyed an eventful return to life in the Premier League.
The Whites have been involved in 14 goals in just two matches this season, a record for any promoted club.
Saturday's 4-3 victory over Fulham saw Marcelo Bielsa's men open their account for the campaign after a whirlwind start to the 2020/21 season.
Whilst Leeds are hoping to avoid a major scrap for survival after investing in the squad this summer, the main aim for any promoted club is to retain their status for the following season.
For the Whites, that's no different after 16 years away from the promised land.
Few predicted Leeds to be relegated back to the Championship after their dominant title win last season, whilst the impact Sheffield United made on the division last season may have also had a bearing.
However, after just two matchdays, data experts FiveThirtyEight believe it could be a tighter scrap for survival than most Leeds fans would expect this season.
The number crunches assign an SPI rating to each club in the Premier League, based from an offensive and defensive rating. Once these are calculated, they are used to predict the scoreline of any match based on factors which are explained in greater detail here.
That algorithm allows 538 to predict the final Premier League table after each matchday, with constant changes based on previous results.
After the opening two weekends of the season, Leeds are tipped to just avoid relegation, finishing the season in 17th.
With a current SPI rating of 63.6, the Whites are tipped to finish on 40 points and stay up on goal difference ahead of Newcastle United.
Fulham and West Brom, meanwhile, will suffer an immediate return to the Championship with 35 and 31 points, respectively.
Aston Villa and Sheffield United will finish just above Leeds with an extra point of 41, according to the data experts.
