Covid cases could dramatically fall in November to - slumping to just 5,000 per day by Christmas without resorting to Plan B, according to modelling seen by the Government.
A rise in cases is currently being driven by unvaccinated children and youngsters, but experts say infections could 'run out of steam' when younger generations reach a higher level of natural immunity.
October half term is also expected to act as a 'natural firebreaker' which can further fuel a fall in covid cases as the government continues to appear reluctant at introducing a plan b - which could include mandatory face coverings and working from home.
A model proposed by the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine suggests that cases will soon peak before falling steeply in the winter months.
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Other unpublished models have also shown similar patterns, The Telegraph reported.
It comes as the UK has recorded another 39,962 Covid cases in the latest 24 hour period, while deaths have risen by 72 - up by over a quarter in seven days.
It breaks a cycle of 11 consecutive days in a row where new infections remained above 40,000 across Britain amid fears of a fresh wave as winter approaches.
The figures, released this afternoon by the Department of Health, see an 11 percent case decrease compared to last Sunday (October 17) when there were 44,985 recorded.
And 57 fatalities within 28 days of a positive test, meaning a rise of 26 percent.
It is the biggest Covid death toll for a Sunday since March 7 when there were 82.
Meanwhile, a rare syndrome has been added to the list of possible side effects from the AstraZaneca vaccine by a UK health regulator.
Guillain-Barre syndrome is a condition that has been noted in some people that have had the Oxford jab, although experts insist the benefits outweigh any possible issues.
The Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) has added Guillain-Barre syndrome as a possible side effect of the vaccine.
The disorder affects the nerves mainly in the feet, hands and limbs, states the NHS.
Numbness, pain or weakness can all be felt in patients with the condition which affects the immune system.
For most people they will be treated and have a complete recovery but on rare occasions it can to lead to long term illness and may even be life-threatening.
As also reported today, the UK’s most senior NHS doctor has urged Brits eligible for Covid-19 booster jabs to ‘take up the offer.’
Professor Stephen Powis, the medical director of NHS England, said “the freedom we now all enjoy” is a direct result of the willingness of patients to come forward for jabs.
