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Belfast Live
Belfast Live
National
Shauna Corr

Coronavirus 'R' number now estimated at 1-1.6 in Northern Ireland

The current reproductive rate (R number) of Coronavirus in Northern Ireland is now estimated to be 1.0-1.6.

That means that for every person with the disease, another 1-1.6 people will get it.

The Department of Health also say there has been a further increase in transmission of the virus - but that this may have been influenced by an outbreak at a Co Antrim meat factory.

DoH continues to publish the Covid-19 reproduction number on a weekly basis.

They have also revealed:

  • Average number of new positive tests per day last 7 days is 56.3 
  • 7-day incidence based on new positive tests is 20.7 / 100k people
  • 14-day incidence based on new positive tests is 36.9 / 100k people
  • 7 day average of total tests which are positive is 1.34%
  • 14 people have had their first COVID +ve hospital admission in the last week
  • 7 day average number COVID occupied hospital beds - 17.0

A DoH spokesperson said: "The above indicators generally show a further increase in transmission in the last week. The 7 day rolling average for new cases has increased as has test positivity, though both are likely to be strongly influenced by a meat factory outbreak in Mid and East Antrim.

"14 day cases per 100k remain higher than the UK as a whole and ROI. This is likely to be partly explainable by increased testing in the context of the Test / Trace / Protect service. 

"However, there is also likely to be a more widespread increase in community transmission which is a matter of significant concern."

They added: "Hospital admissions are increasing very slowly but are still at a low level in comparison to the first wave when there was a comparable number of cases. 

"The view from both the Modelling Group and the Strategic Intelligence Group is that they will inevitably rise if cases continue to do so."

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