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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Rob Davies and Graeme Wearden

UK and US stock markets fall again

Outgoing Bank Of England governor Mark Carney
Outgoing Bank Of England governor Mark Carney says things are getting tight. Photograph: WPA Pool/Getty Images

Share prices around the world plunged for the second day in a row on Friday, sending stock market losses linked to the coronavirus outbreak smashing through $5tn (£3.8tn) in a single week.

As stocks nosedived on fears of global recession, the Bank of England governor warned of a slowdown in the UK, oil-rich countries considered slashing output and the Geneva motor show was cancelled.

The FTSE 100 in London shed more than 3%, recording more than £200bn of losses in a week that proved to be the most brutal for investors since the depths of the financial crisis in 2008.

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A day after Wall Street suffered its biggest one-day slump on record, losing 1,190 points in a day, the Dow Jones industrial average went into freefall again, losing just over 1,000 points – or 4% – in early trading . It ended the day down 357 points. This took its weekly losses over 12% , the worst since autumn 2008.

Reuters calculated that global investors have lost $5tn since Monday as markets priced in the threat of a global recession.

Oil-rich countries are considering deep production cuts, according to reports, reflecting the expected impact on global economic activity. The Geneva motor show became the latest major international business event to be cancelled after the Swiss government imposed a ban on gatherings of more than 1,000 people.

Amazon told its 798,000 employees to avoid non-essential travel domestically and internationally.

In the UK, the law firm Baker McKenzie shut its London office and sent more than 1,000 staff home after a possible coronavirus case was detected.

Following warnings from economic analysts that the virus could take a toll akin to the 2008 financial crisis, the Bank of England governor, Mark Carney, cautioned on Friday that UK growth could be hindered by the effect the outbreak was having on global trade.

“We would expect world growth would be lower than it otherwise would be, and that has a knock-on effect on the UK,” said Carney, who is due to hand over leadership of the Bank to Andrew Bailey on 15 March. “We’re not picking that up yet at all in the European and UK economic indicators but if the world is slower than the UK, a very open economy, it will have an impact.”

Carney told Sky News: “Things are getting tight,” adding that while it was impossible to be precise about the severity or the duration of the effect, “the direction is down”.

He said: “We’re not out of the woods. There’s less tourism – as you can see on our streets here in the UK. That’s lower activity as well.”

The World Health Organization is recommending that people take simple precautions to reduce exposure to and transmission of the Wuhan coronavirus, for which there is no specific cure or vaccine.

The UN agency advises people to:

  • Frequently wash their hands with an alcohol-based hand rub or warm water and soap
  • Cover their mouth and nose with a flexed elbow or tissue when sneezing or coughing
  • Avoid close contact with anyone who has a fever or cough
  • Seek early medical help if they have a fever, cough and difficulty breathing, and share their travel history with healthcare providers
  • Avoid direct, unprotected contact with live animals and surfaces in contact with animals when visiting live markets in affected areas
  • Avoid eating raw or undercooked animal products and exercise care when handling raw meat, milk or animal organs to avoid cross-contamination with uncooked foods.

Despite a surge in sales of face masks in the aftermath of the outbreak of the coronavirus outbreak, experts are divided over whether they can prevent transmission and infection. There is some evidence to suggest that masks can help prevent hand-to-mouth transmissions, given the large number of times people touch their faces. The consensus appears to be that wearing a mask can limit – but not eliminate – the risks, provided they are used correctly.

Justin McCurry

With economic growth at risk, the Opec group of oil-producing nations is expected to discuss increasing planned production cuts at a meeting in Vienna next week.

Oil prices reached a 13-month low of $50 a barrel for brent crude this week and any slowdown in economic activity would weigh even heavier on prices, adding to pressure to cut output to balance supply and demand.

Saudi Arabia, the largest producer, is expected to discuss with fellow Opec members such as Iran and Iraq whether plans to cut production should be ramped up from 600,000 barrels per day to 1m.

The Geneva motor show organisers said Geneva’s economy could lose €250m (£213m) this year owing to the cancellation of a show that typically attracts as many as 600,000 executives and car fans. It was due to take place from 2-15 March but all ticketholders will now be refunded.

The FTSE lost more than 3% on Friday for the second consecutive day, taking its decline for the week to 11%, or 823 points.The combined decline in the value of London-listed companies since Monday reached nearly £207bn. The index and its European counterparts have suffered their worst week since the 2008 financial crisis and the third worst since records began.

“Fears over the coronavirus spreading around the world have this week caused mayhem on the markets, leaving investors holding their head in their hands as large chunks are wiped off people’s savings pots,” said analysts at stockbroker AJ Bell.

“It’s down to fears that the coronavirus could lead to a global recession.”

Firms that rely on the continued flow of cross-border travel and tourism suffered most.

TUI, which is the only major tour operator in the UK since the demise of Thomas Cook, lost 29% of its value over five days.

The no-frills airline easyJet and IAG, the owner of British Airways, have been also particularly badly hit because of the effect on global travel, down 27% and 24% respectively.

Both reported significant drops in demand and announced emergency measures on Friday, including cancelling flights, changing the size of planes used on routes and freezing pay.

The Vix index, which measures stock market volatility, hit one of its highest levels since the 2008 financial crisis.

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