The final thoughts, a few predictions, and some investment advice to make your life a heck of a lot better than it currently is.
Week 4 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews
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After one of the weirdest weeks ever when it comes to the investment world, and after a crazy Thursday night game – amazing if you had Tulane -5.5, devastating if you had Houston – this week we get the fun marriage of fascinating games to bet on, with big showdowns that will help define the season.
This is all for spits, giggles, and entertainment purposes only, however, just in case you dabble …
Week 4 Final Thoughts, Investment Advice
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ACC Betting Advice, Final Thoughts
Blow off Boston College getting roasted on a weird weeknight game against Kansas. This is a much, much better team than it showed, and Rutgers just doesn’t have the offense to go all Jayhawks. The line has gone up a wee bit to BC -8.5, and it doesn’t matter. Like the Eagles, like the under on the 57.5 – that’s a big number for a Rutgers team that might not score.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
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Really, what is Syracuse right now? It’s offense hasn’t shown up and the defense is questionable after getting rocked by Syracuse and Maryland in back-to-back weeks. Worry a wee bit about Western Michigan and an offense that can crank it up a bit, but this is a desperate Orange team only giving up 4.5. It’s an ACC team at home against the MAC. Mr. Babers’ team had better roll.
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How many more times do we have to get beaten over the head by UCF in games like this before the world buys in? Apparently, none, because the line is a massive -11 even for a devastating Knight team against a Pitt offense that’s scored a grand total of 44 points in three games. Falling into the Until Proven Otherwise category, go with the Panther offense struggling, the 61 point total is way hight, and UCF should scoff at the line that hasn’t budged.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
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North Carolina is at home playing a Sun Belt team, and it’s only giving away -2.5. Could Appalachian State win this? Absolutely. Is this just any old Sun Belt program? Absolutely not. Are you going to take an ACC team that’s playing well at home giving up just 2.5 points against a Sun Belt team? And you’re going to sweat it out big-time when you do.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
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There was a time not all that long ago when Florida State vs. Louisville stopped the world. This week, it’s going to be a fun game between two teams that need this game considering what’s ahead for each one. Forgive the wishy-washiness of this, but are you able to buy into FSU doing anything consistently right? The 6.5 is too much, and the Cardinals could absolutely pull this off. With these defenses, going over the 61 won’t be an issue.
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Central Michigan was able to do just fine last week without starting quarterback Quinten Dormady and top running back Jonathan Ward, but Miami isn’t Akron. Even so, the -30 is a massive number for a Cane team that will want to get in, get out, and move on to Virginia Tech. CMU has enough O to not get totally wiped out.
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In this week’s Stay Away HARD game, Virginia is easily 28.5 points better than Old Dominion, but this is one of those strange sandwich games to be very, very afraid of. The Monarchs won’t win, but the Cavs are coming off of the big win over FSU and have Notre Dame up next. Throw in the regional aspect, and this could be a wee bit closer than you might like – at least if you like the 28.5.
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Was lukewarm when Clemson was giving away 38.5 to Charlotte, positively freezing now that it’s up to 42. The Tigers can easily win this in a wipeout, and all it might take is one Charlotte score – the 49ers are okay offensively – to ruin your day. The world is giving you 42 points – and it still might not be enough. Remember, 51-10 doesn’t get it done.
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– The Winners & Whiners 2nd Opinion Pick Is …
Week 4 Final Thoughts, Investment Advice
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Big 12 Betting Advice, Final Thoughts
ULM has an offense. It pushed Florida State to the limit, and it’s just scary enough to find a way to put up enough points on Iowa State to not get wiped out. The line went down from Cyclones -20.5 to 18, but you should be fine either way. Iowa State will win, but it’ll go Iowa State and not be showy about it.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
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This TCU defense is THE TRUTH. SMU might be doing a nice job offensively, the the Horned Frog passing game makes the world a lesser place, but this is a quietly great TCU team because of that D. Get ready for Purdue game Part 2 – you like the Horned Frog D, and you like only giving away 8.5.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
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It’s time to ask yourself what you believe. Do you believe that Kansas is really that good? Is it the Kansas all of a sudden the Clemson Jayhawks after what they did at Boston College? Is West Virginia’s corner turned after what it did against NC State? For the moment, believe that the Mountaineers are a bit more real than the Jayhawks. Line going down from 7 to 4.5 helps.
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It’s okay to be a little bit worried that the Rice defense is just good enough to keep the score down against Baylor, but there’s no O on the Owls. The rest Baylor team should do what Wake Forest did against Rice and wake up in time to roll easily. It’ll be close, but the 26.5 isn’t that bad.
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It massive over hasn’t always worked out so well this year – see Texas Tech vs. Arizona – but it’s just more fun when you’re shooting for the over between two high-powered offenses. The 73 is a huge number for Oklahoma State vs. Texas, but these two can’t play a lick of defense – each team should flirt with the 40s. The line has moved up to Longhorns -6.5, which is juuuuuuuust enough to hope for the Cowboys to keep this close late.
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Week 4 Final Thoughts, Investment Advice
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Big Ten Betting Advice, Final Thoughts
So what was it about the 30-0 loss to Iowa that makes you think that Rutgers is about to kick it all in and take down Boston College, or even keep it within 8.5? The quarterback situation is a mess – McLane Carter almost certainly isn’t playing – the Eagles are going to play better after getting rolled by Kansas, and there are no worries here going against the Big Ten team at home.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
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This isn’t the UConn team of last season. It doesn’t have nearly enough offense to challenge Indiana, but the defense has shown up so far. The Hoosiers have just enough concerns to think the 27.5 might be a bit too big. The lack of Husky scoring punch makes the under on the 57 enticing.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
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It this when Northwestern goes Northwestern? It was awful against Stanford and mediocre against UNLV, but it does this – remember the Akron loss last year? Michigan State giving away 9 on the road seems like a lot, but the struggling Northwestern offense is about to have a bad day. The two teams might not score, but anytime America hands you a point total of 38, you have to go over on principle alone.
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Don’t overrate Wisconsin for what it did against USF and Central Michigan, and don’t dog Michigan for looking like hot trash offensively against Army. This is a true coin-flip game depending on whose passing game clicks better. The Badgers giving up 3.5 at home has held steady, and that’s about right. It’ll come down to the final drive either way – take that how you need to – and don’t worry about the 3.5, even though 23-20 isn’t a crazy possibility.
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Stay away from the Ohio State slaughter against Miami University. The Buckeyes will win in a blowout, but this might be one of those games when they get up really, really fast and mentally check out – see the Florida Atlantic game – with the trip to Nebraska up next. Miami University won’t pose any sort of a challenge, with with the line moving up to 39, you’re not crazy to go with the RedHawks and assume they’ll somehow get to 14 points to cover.
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Illinois has been sort of odd. It has the pass rush, and it has the tools, and it has enough parts to be plucky at home against a Nebraska team that might be looking a wee bit ahead to Ohio State. The line shot through the roof on this, going from Huskers -7 to -13.5 and down to 13. Expect a wee bit of a shootout – the 62 won’t be an issue on the over – and look for some fight out of the Illini to keep this a wee bit closer than the two TDs.
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Week 4 Final Thoughts, Investment Advice
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Pac-12 Betting Advice, Final Thoughts
There’s absolutely no reason to pick USC over Utah. The Utes have the defensive line to shut down the Trojan running game cold, Kedon Slovis looked a little like a 4th string freshman against BYU, and the Utah offense is loaded and tough for a road game like this. But Utah hasn’t won in Los Angeles against USC since 1915 – and that was the only time it happened. The smart, professional call is Utah -3.5, but you’ve been warned – you’re battling against history.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
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– The Winners & Whiners 2nd Opinion Pick Is …
Did no one see the Cal win over Washington? The Bear defense was terrific, the offense is opportunistic enough to capitalize on every chance, and … yeah, the defense is terrific. Ole Miss is an SEC team at home, but going to Oxford to face the Rebels isn’t like going to Seattle to deal with Washington, and the Bears passed that test.
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Don’t overthink this. USC had BYU in trouble, and then didn’t have what it took in the end last week. Going to Provo is scary, but Washington is far better than USC. Think more Utah-BYU than USC-BYU here – the 6.5 might be about ten points light.
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Is there a chance Stanford wakes up and becomes Stanford again? Yeah, but there’s no running game, the passing attack is pedestrian, and Oregon has been amazing outside of a bad two minutes against Auburn. Until the Cardinal start to show something again against a good team, you don’t worry about giving away ten for a team like Oregon.
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– The Winners & Whiners 2nd Opinion Pick Is …
Until UCLA proves it can play college football at a reasonably well level again, keep assuming it’s good for 14 points whether it needs them or not. Washington State has had an extra day to rest after the win over Houston last week, and it shouldn’t have any issues with the 18.5 at home – the line has shockingly gone down a bit.
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Week 4 Final Thoughts, Investment Advice
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SEC Betting Advice, Final Thoughts
The world is believing that Ole Miss is good, why? The Rebels didn’t show off that much in the win over Arkansas, and blowing up SE Louisiana is no big deal. The line went from a Pick to Ole Miss -2.5, but this Cal team is a whole lot stronger than it’s being given credit for. This D will give the Rebel O a whole lot of problems.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
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Boo hoo … Alabama has to play a 11 am local time. Boo hoo … the student section might want to leave early and do something better. Boo hoo … Bama shouldn’t have any problems putting away Southern Miss easily, but the 38.5 is a large number against a Golden Eagle team that’s good enough to challenge for the Conference USA title. The total is just 61.5, and you always like the shot that Bama is grouchy and hits that all by itself.
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It seems like Vanderbilt should be just a wee bit better. LSU on the road won’t have any issues getting this done, but the Commodores have just enough offense to keep this from being a total wipeout. For whatever reason, LSU doesn’t win in brutal blowout fashion on the road going back to last season.
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It’s Tennessee, it’s Florida, it’s Florida with a backup quarterback, and it’s Tennessee looking to turn around the program with one big home run cut. Whatever … Kyle Trask will be more than fine, and the Vol offense will have a nightmare of a time moving. The line has gone up from 12.5 to 14 – you don’t care.
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Auburn is getting way too much love and affection. It was able to hang around and get by a fantastic Oregon team, but Texas A&M only giving away 3.5 at home? It’s going to be a low scoring game, but this is must-win time for the Aggies considering what else is coming. The line should be be closer to seven.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
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The line has gone down from Mississippi State -6.5 to 6, so see if you can get it a bit higher somewhere. Kentucky isn’t going to fall off the map without Terry Wilson – it battled Florida tough – and Mississippi State hasn’t shown anything to suggest that it’s close to being the team it was last year. UK could win this outright.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
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Missouri is being given WAY too much love. It’s a good team, and it should beat South Carolina at home, but the line started out at 10, and now it’s at 9.5. Either way, you’re just fine with the Gamecocks if the man wants to give you close to double-digits for the privilege fo picking them.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
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So what aren’t we seeing in Notre Dame at Georgia? What are we missing? Out of all of the scenarios, Notre Dame actually winning this outright seems like the most unlikely option – forget about winning in dominant fashion.
This seems like it’ll either be a dominant Georgia performance to put it right there with Alabama and Clemson in the Best Team In The Nation discussion, or it’s going to be a bit of a grind on the way to a nice Dawg win. Assume the latter, and assume the Irish can keep this just close enough to not let Georgia runaway and hide.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
– The Winners & Whiners 2nd Opinion Pick Is …
Week 4 Final Thoughts, Investment Advice
ACC | Big 12 | Big Ten | Pac-12