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ABC News
ABC News
Politics
Jackson Gothe-Snape

Chart of the day: This is how bad we are at predicting our own population growth

Australia's population growth has outstripped official expectations for more than a decade, according to the Government's own estimates.

The Intergenerational Report provides "a projection into the future, giving us an estimate of the challenges we face as a nation".

But across the four reports stretching back to 2002, the Government has repeatedly underestimated how fast the population is growing.

In 2002, the first report assumed net overseas migration would continue at 90,000 people per year.

Subsequent reports have increased this migration figure, but they have still underestimated growth.

The 2015 edition used a figure of 215,000.

Figures released in June by the ABS show net overseas migration in 2017 was 240,000.

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