One Champions League fan has simulated the upcoming group stage draw 50 million times to work out the most probable match-ups between the biggest teams.
Pot 1's eight teams have been confirmed for some time, with Manchester City, Liverpool and Chelsea all among the top seeds, while Ajax have confirmed their place alongside the likes of Tottenham.
Mark Cilia Vincenti of BayernForum.com simulated the draw before the final 32 teams were confirmed, and so used just the top two pots for his experiment with the assumption that Ajax would reach the group stage.
The most likely pairing is a repeat of last season with Barcelona and Tottenham again drawing each other rated as a 21.56 per cent probability. Barca thrashed Spurs at Wembley before a 1-1 draw at Camp Nou rescued the Premier League side in the final group game.
Pot 1
| Club | Country | Coefficient |
| Barcelona | Spain | 138.000 |
| Bayern Munich | Germany | 128.000 |
| Juventus | Italy | 124.000 |
| Man City | England | 106.000 |
| PSG | France | 103.000 |
| Liverpool | England | 91.000 |
| Chelsea | England | 87.000 |
| Zenit | Russia | 72.000 |
Pot 2
| Club | Country | Coefficient |
| Real Madrid | Spain | 146.000 |
| Atletico Madrid | Spain | 127.000 |
| Dortmund | Germany | 85.000 |
| Napoli | Italy | 80.000 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Ukraine | 80.000 |
| Tottenham | England | 78.000 |
| Ajax | Netherlands | 70.500 |
| Benfica | Portugal | 68.000 |
Spurs fans will be heartened to learn, though, that being matched with Zenit Saint-Petersburg, the weakest Pot 1 team, is the second-likeliest draw at 21.05 per cent.
For Liverpool, Chelsea and Manchester City, all roads point to Atletico Madrid as the Pot 2 team most likely to be travelling to England for a group-stage double-header.
City are the team, narrowly, deemed as Atletico's more likely opponents at 16.13 per cent. Taking Diego Simeone's team out of the running, Liverpool would face Shakhtar Donetsk, ranked at 15.28 per cent, while Chelsea get Real Madrid at 14.79 per cent.
