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Austin Schroeder

Cattle Resuming Rally to Contract Highs on Wednesday

Live cattle futures are showing $1.87 to $2.20 gains on Wednesday. Cash activity thus far has been limited so far this week. The Wednesday Fed Cattle Exchange online auction from Central Stockyards showed no sales on the 2,556 head offered and $226 bids. Feeder cattle futures are up $2.50 to $3.10. The CME Feeder Cattle Index was up another $1.03 to $326.83 on July 21.  

Japan and the US agreed to a trade deal that was announced late on Tuesday. Tariffs will be set at 15% starting August 1. It also outlines Japan buying $8 billion in US ag goods. For reference, ag and related exports to Japan have historically ranged from $12 to 16 billion annually.

 

Cattle on Feed data will be released on Friday, with June placements expected to be down 2% from a year ago and marketings seen 3.6% below June 2024. July 1 on feed inventory is estimated to be down 0.8% from last year.

USDA Wholesale Boxed Beef prices were mixed in the Wednesday morning report, narrowing the Chc/Sel spread to $21.38. Choice boxes were quoted $3.07 lower at $369.43, while Select prices on average up 11 cents to $348.05. USDA estimated cattle slaughter for Tuesday at 112,000 head, with the week to date total at 217,000. That was down 13,000 head from last week and 21,983 head lower vs. the same week in 2024.

Aug 25 Live Cattle  are at $226.850, up $1.875,

Oct 25 Live Cattle  are at $223.325, up $2.200,

Dec 25 Live Cattle  are at $223.725, up $2.075,

Aug 25 Feeder Cattle  are at $330.950, up $2.675

Sep 25 Feeder Cattle  are at $331.250, up $2.675

Oct 25 Feeder Cattle  are at $329.950, up $3.075

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