Probably not, writes Quinnipiac University's Peter Brown in the Politico, because the interval between Thursday's Iowa caucus and the Granite State's Tuesday primary is too small to measure the possible effect of Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee's Iowa victories on the New Hampshire race:
Polls that come out Sunday evening or in the Monday morning newspapers will reflect at most three days of polling. Those that come out Tuesday morning - the day of the actual voting - could reflect four full nights.
Pollsters like to have larger periods to poll. Part of the discipline of the field is that once a random sample is drawn, good pollsters make every effort to call back the telephone numbers that did not answer, rather than call extra ones, in order to preserve the randomness and integrity of the original sample.
So take any numbers you here about who's up (currently, Hillary Clinton and John McCain) and who's down between today and Tuesday with a tablespoon of salt.
