California could continue to endure wildfires until December as a late start to the rainy season looks increasingly likely — particularly in the south of the state, the Southern California Geographic Area Coordination Center warns in a new report.
Why it matters: California Gov. Gavin Newsom has declared a state of emergency over a series of wildfires that have plagued the state for weeks. The fires have posed the most dangerous conditions since the 2017 wine country fires that killed 22 people.
The big picture: The bleak outlook comes on the heels of last month being confirmed as the warmest October ever (though by a slim margin) and some 11,000 scientists labeled climate change as an "emergency" for the first time.
What to expect: Southern California is predicted to have a higher-than-usual chance of big fires until December, with little rain in sight. The north of the state is set to see "offshore winds occurring over fuel beds that are primed for burning," the report said.
Yes, but: Retired NASA climatologist Bill Patzert told the Los Angeles Times that fire season predictions were largely dependent on "a race between the start of the rainy season and the Santa Ana winds: which one dominates and at what time of the year;" a good downpour could quell wildfires, even in strong winds.
But, but, but: Per the LA Times, "Southern California hasn't had significant rain in seven months, and meteorologists say there’s no clear sign of rain anywhere in the forecast through at least mid-November."
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