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Daily Record
Daily Record
World
Lorraine King

Calculator shows how likely you are to die from coronavirus

A new online calculator has been created to warn people of their risk of dying from coronavirus, UK scientists have revealed.

Experts from University College London said there are more than eight million 'high risk' people nationwide who should stay indoors until the lockdown is completely lifted.

The team created the Covid-risk calculator that allows individuals to see if they are deemed vulnerable and take any necessary steps to safeguard themselves, The Mirror reports.

It uses an individual's age, sex and underlying health conditions to assess their effect on coronavirus mortality under different scenarios.

There are more than eight million people who are 'high risk' and should stay indoors (Getty Images)

Experts said the only way to keep the number of people dying from Covid-19 below 73,000 in the next year is to protect those who are deemed vulnerable.

But they have also warned that if the government removes restrictions too fast, the virus could spread out of control and kill 400,000 people, Sun Online reports.

Medical journal The Lancet study looked at 3.8 million health records and concluded coronavirus could cause between 37,000 and 73,000 excess deaths within one year.

Researchers warn the risk of death among people with underlying health conditions - such as heart disease or diabetes - is five times higher than those without and the over 70s were also at risk.

They have estimated there are 8.4 million people in the UK who need to avoid going outdoors to curb an increase in deaths.

Before the coronavirus pandemic swept across the world the risk of a person under the age of 70 dying was 0.6 per cent, for those with one underlying health conditions it was 3.5 per cent but this increases to 7.5 per cent if they have two conditions.

Dr Amitava Banerjee, lead researcher, said the calculator is an early prototype and provides one year mortality risks for common conditions by age and sex.

He added: “Using data modelling on a number of different scenarios, our findings show the mortality risk for these vulnerable groups increases significantly, and could lead to thousands of avoidable deaths.

“Our calculator is the first to give doctors, health experts and the public a personalised risk from Covid.

“In the current emergency there is an urgent need to develop better understanding of who is at risk based on reliable health data.”

Professor Sarah Harper, from Oxford University, said the calculator highlights 'the importance of identifying underlying health conditions'.

You calculate your risk by using the online calculator.

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