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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
Business
Ben Chapman

Business news live - No-deal Brexit would wipe £240bn off UK housing market within months, say experts

A no-deal Brexit on 31 October would reduce the value of people's homes in the UK by a combined £240bn in six months, a poll of housing experts suggests.

Around 85 per cent of those surveyed by Reuters said house prices will fall after a disorderly exit from the EU, despite mortgage interest rates already close to record lows.

The news comes as an ally of Angela Merkel.told Boris Johnson that his latest Brexit demands were "completely impossible".

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Welcome to The Independent's live coverage of global business and economics events.
 
A poll of housing experts predicts UK property prices will fall by around 3 per cent in the immediate aftermath of a no-deal Brexit, collectively wiping £240bn off of the market value of homes.
 
The Reuters survey suggests that London prices would be hardest hit, plunging as much as 10 per cent in six months.
 
If the UK leaves with a deal, prices are forecast to rise 1.4 per cent on average across the country as a whole.

Investment in the UK tech sector has continued to surge, as British firms secured more foreign funding in the first seven months of 2019 than during the whole of 2018, according to new research.

Fast-growing UK tech companies secured a "staggering" $6.7bn (£5.5bn) in investment in the period to July, according to new research by Tech Nation and Dealroom.

The research for the Department of Digital, Culture, Media and Sport's digital economy council revealed that the UK has overtaken the US for the amount of investment per capita.

Funding growth was driven by US and Asian investment in unicorns such as a renewable energy company Ovo Energy and takeaway business Deliveroo.

Press Association

After previous denials, Donald Trump has admitted that his aggressive stance on trade with China may inflict economic pain on Americans.
 
But he says it will all be worth it in the long-term.
 
Asked if his trade war with China could tip the US into recession, Mr Trump brushed off the idea as “irrelevant” and said it was imperative to “take China on.” 
 
“It’s about time, whether it’s good for our country or bad for our country short-term,” he said. 

 

Trump admits trade war may hurt Americans and says he is considering new tax cuts
 

Britain’s public finances were in the black in July, as they were in that month in the previous two years as well.
 
Official data out today shows a budget surplus of £1.32bn – much smaller than both the £2.7bn expected by analysts and the £3.56bn surplus in July 2018.
 
The government typically reports a surplus in July because tax revenues receive a boost from people filing self-assessment returns.
 
 
The UK's National debt has risen from a year ago to £1.81 trillion, standing at 82.4 per cent of GDP.  
 
Thomas Pugh, UK economist at Capital Economics, said government borrowing is likely to continue overshooting forecasts by the Office for Budget Responsibility over the next few months as spending on preparations for a no-deal Brexit are ramped up.
 
Resolution Foundation director Torsten Bell says the chancellor is on track to break his spending rules:
 
How do we solve the UK's housing crisis? Not simply by building new homes, according to a new report.
 
The crisis of affordability is more to do with the oversupply of cheap credit rather than undersupply of property, it says.
 
“Meanwhile, a shrinking social rented sector, cuts to housing benefit and slow wage growth among young people are making rented housing less affordable for many, even though private sector rents are stable.” 
 

Building more homes won’t solve UK housing crisis, new report argues
 

The government has launched a review into whether and how the much-criticised HS2 project should continue.
 
The independent panel looking into the railway will be led by former HS2 Ltd chairman Douglas Oakervee.
 
Lord Berkeley - a long-term critic of HS2 - will be deputy chair of the review. 
 
Transport Secretary Grant Shapps says:
 

"The Prime Minister has been clear that transport infrastructure has the potential to drive economic growth, redistribute opportunity and support towns and cities across the UK, but that investments must be subject to continuous assessment of their costs and benefits.

"That's why we are undertaking this independent and rigorous review of HS2.

"Douglas Oakervee and his expert panel will consider all the evidence available, and provide the department with clear advice on the future of the project."

Alibaba has reportedly postponed its $15bn (£12.3bn) stock market listing in Hong Kong in the midst of pro-democracy protests.

Reuters cited a source with knowledge of the matter as saying that Alibaba could launch its initial public offering as in October if tensions between protestors and Chinese police had eased and the market outlook had improved.

A further source is said to have revealed that the e-commerce company’s board took the decision to delay the deal, which had been pencilled in for August, at a board meeting last week.

Alibaba delays $15bn stock market listing amid Hong Kong protests, say reports

 

 
FTSE100 bosses make 117 times average employees despite a 13 per cent pay cut, new figures from the High Pay Centre show.
 
James Moore explains why we need to shine a light on the fat cats:
 
Labour's shadow chancellor, John McDonnell, has attacked the government over today's borrowing figures.
 
 

“With the Conservatives only interested in forcing through a No Deal Brexit, nine years of economic mismanagement have left our public services in a terrible state ahead of the Spending Review," he said.

“Instead of borrowing yet more money to fund their failed programme of tax cuts, the priority has to be reversing the damage done to schools and social care, and stopping the rollout of Universal Credit which is causing so much hardship."

The pound has fallen against the dollar and euro this morning as the outlook for progress on Brexit darkens ahead of Boris Johnson's meeting with Angela Merkel today.
 
Sterling is down 0.28 per cent against the dollar at $1.213 and 0.23 per cent against the euro at €1.093.
 
The German chancellor briefly injected some optimism into currency markets yesterday with comments apparently suggesting there could be some compromise on the backstop.
 
It shortly became clear however that negotiations on the Withdrawal Agreement are closed.
Jeffrey Epstein placed his $577m fortune into a trust just two days before he was found dead in a New York prison cell, court documents have revealed.
 
The move could make it more difficult for Epstein's victims to claim damages from his estate and will again call into question the rules governing the often opaque world of trusts.
Sir Stelios Haji-Ioannou, founder of easyGroup, has accused a fund manager of trying to "steal" his hotel business.
 
Sir Stelios says fund manager ICAMAP's 95p-a-share offer for easyHotel is much too low.

"I think ICAMAP is simply trying to 'steal' this company from under the noses of other investors," he said.

A planned strike by Ryanair’s Irish pilots will not go ahead this week after a ruling from the Dublin High Court was issued this morning.

The Irish court said it would grant Europe’s biggest airline an injunction to prevent a 48-hour stoppage beginning on 22 August.

Full story from Deputy travel editor Helen Coffey:

Irish pilots walkout scrapped after High Court ruling

Ryanair has responded to news that a pilots' walkout will not go ahead this week.
 
Huawei's founder Ren Zhengfei says Donald Trump will not "crush" the company by placing it on a blacklist.
 
He told the Associated Press:
 
By adding Huawei to the entity list, the US wanted to kill off Huawei. But we are not dead; in fact, we are doing even better than before. ... The entity list has not affected us as much as it has affected our US partners.
 
They used to supply us with billions of dollars' worth of components and were suddenly not allowed to do so. Their short-term financial results will surely be significantly impacted and their losses will be felt. After all, stock prices matter a lot to Wall Street. 
The US president is attacking the man he picked to be Federal Reserve chair, Jerome Powell, for not cutting interest rates enough.
 
Could Trump be worried that the US economy is going in the wrong direction, potentially scuppering his chances for re-election in 2020?
 

Those born in the 1960s were the last generation in Britain to experience a broad rise in living standards, the first official data on the subject has revealed.

Government statisticians analysed the incomes of people born between 1920s and 1990s.

They found that up until those born in the 1970s, each generation tended to be better-off than people born a decade earlier were at the same age.

“Stagnating income for more recent generations compared with their older counterparts is likely to be influenced by several factors. For instance, over recent years, wages and salaries have fared worse than their historical trends,” the Office for National Statistics (ONS) says.

People born in the 60s last to enjoy higher living standards in UK, data shows

Analysts at Barclays have told clients they now believe that a no-deal departure from the EU is the most likely Brexit outcome.
 
That will result in recession, a sharp drop in the pound's value and rising inflation, they forecast in a research note.
 
Barclays also says Boris Johnson is downplaying the economic risks of a no-deal Brexit for political gain.
 
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