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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
Business
Ben Chapman

Fears mount over 'catastrophic' impact of no-deal Brexit, as trade wars threaten to cut global growth - as it happened

Britain’s GDP fell 0.1 per cent in August from the previous month – the first drop since April – after an upwardly revised 0.4 per cent rise in July, official data showed. The figures put the economy on track for a modest expansion in the third quarter, after a surprise contraction in the second quarter.

Meanwhile, homeowners are increasingly shunning the property market because of heightened uncertainty about Britain's future, research has found.

The number of new homes coming to the market slumped to a three-year low in September while buyer demand also fell, a poll by the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors found.

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Apple removes 'police tracking' app in Hong Kong as protest violence worsens
 

Apple on Wednesday removed an app that enabled protesters in Hong Kong to track police, a day after facing intense criticism from Chinese state media for it, plunging the technology giant deeper into the increasingly politicised atmosphere in China.

Apple said it was removing the app, called HKmap.live, from its iPhone App Store just days after approving it because authorities in Hong Kong said protesters were using it to attack police there.

A day earlier, People’s Daily, the flagship newspaper of the Chinese Communist Party, published an editorial that accused Apple of aiding “rioters” in Hong Kong. “Letting poisonous software have its way is a betrayal of the Chinese people’s feelings,” said the article, which was written under a pseudonym, “Calming the Waves.”

Apple gives in to China's demand to pull Hong Kong app that lets protesters track police

'Poisonous' app aiding 'rioters', claims an editorial in People's Daily, the Communist Party's newspaper
 

Chinese oil refiner issues $140m 'green' bond to fund new fossil fuel plant

Oil refiner Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong has just issued a 'green' bond worth 1 billion yuan (£115m) to finance the production of an oil refinery.

The plant will process 16 million tonnes of crude to feed a new petrochemical plant, Chinese official outlet People's Daily said.

Its the latest Chinese firm to take advantage of laughably lax rules around what constitutes a green investment.

Classifying a project as environmentally friendly allows companies to access money from funds that have excluded unsustainable industries from their portfolios. 

UK economy on track for 0.5% growth in third quarter
 
Dr Garry Young, of the National Institute for Economic and Social Research said:
 
“Despite better than expected GDP data, the underlying pace of growth in the United Kingdom is slow. The strongest source of private sector demand is household consumption, driven by real wage growth, but this is not sustainable without a pick-up in productivity growth, and this seems unlikely in the near term.”
 
China's billionaires get richer despite trade war
 
(Associated Press) An annual survey of China's wealthiest businesspeople found they got richer this year despite a tariff war with Washington and slowing economic growth.
 
The Hurun Report said Thursday the average net worth of China's richest 1,800 people rose 10 per cent over 2018 to $1.4bn.
 
Jack Ma, who retired last month as chairman of e-commerce giant Alibaba, was No. 1 with a net worth of $39bn. Ma Huateng of Tencent, a games and social media company, was second with $37bn.
 
The results reflected the growing importance of China's consumer market at a time when U.S. tariff hikes have battered export-oriented manufacturing.
Alibaba founder Jack Ma was second on the list with a $37bn fortune
 
No-deal Brexit threatens Nissan's UK plant, boss says
 
Nissan has issued its strongest warning yet that it will shut down its UK plant in the event of a no-deal Brexit. The Japanese car maker's European business model would simply not be sustainable with 10 per cent tariffs.
 
ITV's Rachel Bullock is at the Sunderland factory. 
 
 
New £20 note featuring painter Turner revealed as Bank of England’s most secure
 
The Bank of England has unveiled the design of the new £20 note, which features the painter JMW Turner as announced previously. The bank said it will be its most secure note yet.

The hard-wearing polymer note, which will be issued from 20 February 2020, has two windows and a two-colour foil. This design, used for the first time, makes the note very difficult to counterfeit, the central bank said on Thursday.
 
The new note, like the polymer £10, will also contain a tactile feature to help vision-impaired people identify the denomination.

Bank of England reveals its 'most secure' note yet

Innovative design makes new note very difficult to counterfeit, central bank says
The US and China's top trade negotiators are resuming their talks today for the first time since late July to try to find a way out of a 15-month trade war as new irritants between the world's two largest economies threatened hopes for progress.
 
Chinese Vice premier Liu He, US trade representative Robert Lighthizer and treasury secretary Steve Mnuchin will seek to narrow differences enough to avoid a scheduled 15 October tariff rate increase on $250bn (£2bn) worth of Chinese goods.

But the atmosphere surrounding the talks was soured by the US Commerce Department's decision on Monday to blacklist 28 Chinese public security bureaus, technology and surveillance firms, citing human rights violations of Muslim minority groups in China's Xinjiang province. A day later, the US State Department imposed visa restrictions on Chinese officials related to the Xinjiang issue.

If negotiations break down again, by 15 December, nearly all Chinese goods imports into the United States - more than $500bn (£400bn) - could be subject to punitive tariffs in the dispute that erupted during Trump's time in office.

Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said in Sydney, Australia, on Thursday that the tariffs were working, forcing Beijing to pay attention to US concerns about its trade practices.

"We do not love tariffs, in fact we would prefer not to use them, but after years of discussions and no action, tariffs are finally forcing China to pay attention to our concerns," Ross said.
 
Unite union is saying that talks on Wright bus are still alive but "hanging by a thread", the BBC reports.
Death of the high street? Not so, says HMV
 
HMV says it has taken a step towards a revival with a new 25,000 sq ft store in Birmingham.
 
The purveyor of CDs, DVDs and LPs, claims the new store will be the biggest music and entertainment retail space in Europe.
 
HMV is taking the fight to Amazon with an experience the online giant can't offer (not at the moment anyway):
 
Alongside music, film, books and fashion merchandise, the store will offer a specially-designed performance space, inviting both local artists and international musicians to perform in-store.
 
The store’s Friday launch will see a performance by Liam Payne, with chart topper James Arthur set to perform on Saturday.
 
'Deeply regrettable': Wrightbus rescue talks fail as JCB heir pulls out
 
Last-ditch talks to save Northern Ireland's Wrightbus have ended without a deal, prompting an impassioned statement from the firm's former owner Jeff Wright.
 
He hit out at Jo Bamford, son of JCB chairman Lord Bamford, who was in the frame to buy Wrightbus but has now walked away.
 
Also under fire is North Antrim MP, Ian Paisley.
 
 

Brexit and global economy hurt Hargreaves Lansdown

Hargreaves Lansdown says it was hit by "weak investor sentiment" in the past three months due to fears about Brexit and the future of the global economy.

Sentiment will no doubt also have been damaged by the fiasco that saw almost 300,000 of Hargreaves’ customers and £1.6bn of their assets trapped in Neil Woodford’s struggling investment fund.

Despite the debacle, Hargreaves hailed a "solid start" to the financial year.

The fund supermarket reported a 6 per cent rise in net revenue to £128.1m for the three months to 30 September. New business also increased, up to £1.7bn from £1.3bn.

New £20 note featuring painter Turner unveiled
 
The Bank of England has unveiled the design of the new £20 note, featuring JMW Turner.
 
And they have released it with a piece of artwork of which England's most famous painter would no doubt have been proud:
 
 
Dunelm hails rising sales 
 
(Press Association) Dunelm has hailed a "particularly strong" first quarter after it boosted sales on the back of new store openings and online growth.
 
However, shares in the company sank in early trading after it warned that trading in September was "mixed" due to a "softer homeware market".
 
The retailer posted a 7.5 per cent rise in total sales to £262.6 million for the three months to 28 September, while like-for-like sales increased by 6.4% to £255.6 million over the period.
 
Subdued growth in construction sector
 
The UK construction sector eked out 0.1 per cent growth the three months to August.
 
CliveDocwra, managing director of construction consultants McBains, was less than impressed:
 

These latest figures show minimal growth overall but no-one in the industry will be getting too excited. 
 
The trends show that the industry is experiencing a mixed profile of monthly growth, with falls in March, April and June largely offset by increases in May, July and August.  There was also a month-on-month decrease in new work of 0.2% in August.
 
This fall in new work reflects the industry being at a crossroads as the Brexit situation remains unclear, with the longer-term picture one of investor restraint and a weakness in the housing market translating into a fall in the numbers of homes.
 
 
After an $8bn verdict against Johnson & Johnson, here’s why America’s runaway juries might be a good thing
 
"It’s the sort of verdict the size of which even John Grisham might think twice about including in one of his legal thrillers," writes The Independent's chief business commentator, James Moore.
 
"Johnson & Johnson was hit with an $8bn (£6.5bn) penalty by a real-life “runaway jury” over its marketing of an antipsychotic drug, Risperdal, which has the unfortunate potential side of effect of causing male users to develop breasts."

After an $8bn verdict against Johnson & Johnson, here’s why America’s runaway juries might be a good thing

Such punitive damages are designed to punish corporate wrongdoing. Those with bad products need to be encouraged to think twice before marketing them to the public, writes James Moore
 
Southern Water fined £126m over 'serious environmental failings and deliberate misreporting
 
Southern Water will pay £126m in penalties and rebates to existing and former wastewater customers, the biggest payment ever imposed by Ofwat.
 
The regulator's investigation found Southern Water failed to invest enough into its sewage works or to properly invest in them.
 
"Southern Water’s failures led to equipment breakdowns and unpermitted spills of wastewater into the environment," Ofwat said. 
 
The Environment Agency is currently investigating whether any environmental impact may have been caused by the company’s failures.
 
The £126 million package will see Southern Water:
  • Return £123 million to former and existing customers. 
  • Pay a fine of £3 million on top - in recognition of the serious and significant breaches of its licence conditions and statutory duties
 
 
Recession fears 'banished' for the time being
 
Andrew Wishart, UK Economist at Capital Economics thinks the UK will avoid a recession.
 
 
"While GDP fell by 0.1% m/m in August as we had expected (consensus 0.0%), the fact that growth in July was revised up from 0.3% m/m to 0.4% m/m means fears that the economy is already in recession have been banished.
 
"In fact, the August GDP data suggest the economy might grow by 0.4% q/q in Q3, up from our previous estimate of 0.3% q/q.

"The fall in GDP in August was due to a 0.7% m/m drop in manufacturing output.
 
"There were hopes that car plants would stay open in August when they usually shut for maintenance, having already shut down in April in case there were a no deal Brexit, and provide a boost to the sector. But in the event car production rose by just 0.7% m/m in August."
 
Manufacturing the biggest drag on economy
 
The ONS on those GDP numbers:
 
The main contributor to gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the three months to August 2019 was the services sector, which grew by 0.4%. This was driven by widespread strength across the services industries in June and July, following a period of largely flat growth in the previous three months.
 
Meanwhile, the production sector fell by 0.4% in the same period, while construction output grew by 0.1%.
 
The services sector - which accounts for most of the economy - grew over the last three months but manufacturing unexpectedly contracted by 0.7 per cent.
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