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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
National
Anna Wise

Britain expected to avoid winter power shortages despite Iran war energy shock

  • Britain is forecast to have sufficient electricity to meet demand this winter, according to the National Energy System Operator (Neso).
  • Neso predicts a surplus of 5.5 gigawatts, representing an 8 per cent buffer against peak winter demand, which is an improvement on previous years.
  • Despite the positive outlook, Neso cautioned about potential “tight days” during cold spells, particularly in mid-to-late January 2027, when demand could be high.
  • Gas prices are expected to be more volatile due to the Middle East conflict and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz , leading to increased household energy bills.
  • The UK's energy security is bolstered by diverse sources, including US liquefied natural gas, North Sea supplies, renewables, and increased battery storage capacity.

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