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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
Politics
Ashley Cowburn, Shehab Khan

Brexit: Government to publish forecasts comparing May's deal with remaining in EU

MPs have forced the government to agree to publish analysis comparing the economic impact of Theresa May's Brexit deal with remaining the European Union.  

Before MPs vote on Ms May's Brexit deal, the government will have to publish an analysis comparing the impact of the proposed agreement with the consequences of the alternative scenarios of a no-deal Brexit and remaining in the EU.

The cross-party amendment was backed by more than 70 MPs from six political parties, including enough Tory rebels to deprive Ms May of her majority.

Facing a certain defeat in the Commons, ministers caved and agreed to accept the motion. 

Welcome to The Independent's politics liveblog - where we will be bringing you the latest updates from Westminster.
 
Stories regarding Theresa May's future as prime minister are dominating the news bulletins this morning once more, with reports that the 48 letters of no confidence required to trigger a vote is perilously close.
 
Speaking this morning on Radio 4, Simon Clarke, one Tory MP who publicly said he has submitted a letter of no confidence to the 1922 committee of backbench Conservative MPs, said: "It is quite clear to me that the captain is driving the ship at the rocks."
 
 

Theresa May faces showdown with cabinet after draft Brexit deal agreed in Brussels

Prime minister faced an immediate backlash from Brexiteers and DUP partners after agreement was announced
 
 

Theresa May faces defeat over plan to force release of economic analysis of her Brexit plans

Theresa May faces an embarrassing defeat over plans to force her into publishing data comparing Britain’s economic prospects under her Brexit deal to staying in the EU.

Eleven Conservatives – including Jo Johnson, who resigned as a minister last week – have publicly signed up to the cross-party push, with the rebellion set to grow if it comes to a vote on Monday.

The prime minister has so far refused to commit to releasing the analysis, which is likely to underline how remaining in the EU would deliver a more prosperous future for the country.

Not everyone is out this morning calling for a confidence vote in the PM - some Tory MPs are out on the airwaves saying such a move would be an 'unnecessary distraction'. 
 
Therese Coffey - the Conservative MP for Suffolk Coastal, also said that Ms May would win any vote "convincingly".

She said: "Coming out without a trade deal in March would lead to, frankly, quite a lot of disruption to businesses and jobs.

"Meanwhile the negotiation, the future political declaration, already sets freedom of movement comes to an end, the ECJ will not be our supreme court.

"We will be able to negotiate our own free trade deals around the world, everything that was promised in the Brexit referendum will be delivered in that future trade deal.

"I recognise it is not what's delivered in the withdrawal agreement, but Brexit is coming."

 
 
Arriving at the General Affairs Council meeting in Brussels, Luxembourg's foreign minister, Jean Asselborn, said: "Boris Johnson once said 'Britain is leaving the EU, It is not leaving Europe'.

"I think the challenge now is for these Brexit dogmatists to show whether that is true.

"I think Theresa May deserves praise for her position. 'No deal is better than a bad deal' has disappeared. 'Any deal is better than no deal' is now the slogan. That is right.

"This deal that is now on the table is the best there is. There is no better deal for this crazy Brexit."

Speaking on Sunday - Sir Graham Brady said he had not even told his wife if the magic number of 48 letters had been reached. 
 
He refused to reveal the total number he had received, but said: “I can tell you how many times a day I’m asked that question, including in the supermarket and on the street."
 

Threshold of 48 letters to trigger vote of no confidence in May not yet met, says Graham Brady

The threshold for challenging the prime minister has not yet been met, said the chairman of the committee in charge of Conservative Party leadership contests.

Sir Graham Brady said he had not received the 48 MPs’ letters needed to trigger a confidence vote that could see Theresa May removed as Tory leader.

More than 20 of the party’s MPs have said publicly they have submitted letters, but the exact number sent is not known.

Greg Clark, the business secretary, has told Radio 4's Today programme that it makes sense to extend the transition period - due to end in December 2020.
 
Pressed on whether it would be until the end of 2022, Mr Clark told the BBC: "It would be at our request and that would be a maximum period."

Mr Clark suggested it could be extended for a matter of "weeks or months", saying: "If we were six weeks away from concluding a future economic partnership and agreeing that then it may make sense to extend the transition period."

Moderate Tories warn anti-EU 'purists' they could turn against Brexit if Theresa May's deal is torn down

Moderate Conservatives have warned they will push Britain towards tighter relations with the EU or even turn against Brexit altogether if “purists” in their party tear down Theresa May’s draft withdrawal deal.

A string of Tory MPs told The Independent that Eurosceptic colleagues who have begun a sustained push to bring down both Ms May and her Brexit plans, should not be mistaken that a no-deal exit risking the livelihoods of British people is obtainable.

The moderates say the only remaining option if Brexiteers block Ms May’s approach will mean being more closely bound to the single market or even revisiting the 2016 referendum result.

  

Jeremy Corbyn: I don't know how I would vote in second Brexit referendum

Jeremy Corbyn has said he does not know how he would vote in a new referendum on the UK’s membership of the European Union. 

The Labour leader said he would need to know what the options are in any fresh test of public opinion as he reiterated his opposition to Theresa May’s Brexitagreement. 

Mr Corbyn’s words came as Remain-supporting Labour MPs urged the leader to more solidly get behind a plan for a final say referendum, something which he said was an “option for the future”.

  

Boris Johnson's unusable water cannon sold for scrap at £300,000 loss to the taxpayer

Three unusable armoured water cannon purchased by Boris Johnson when he was London mayor have been sold at a loss of more than £300,000.

Sadiq Khan, the current mayor of London, announced the water cannon had been sold to a firm which will dismantle them and export the parts.

He added that “we have finally managed to get rid of them”. 

Irish PM Leo Varadkar says no to any further negotiations of Brexit deal

Irish prime minister Leo Varadkar has said no to any renegotiation with the British government over the Brexit withdrawal agreement. 

His remarks come as Theresa May faces pressure to head back to the negotiating table in Brussels from MPs across the political spectrum, including Jeremy Corbyn, who insists there is still time to renegotiate rapidly.

Ministers in her own cabinet are also lobbying the prime minister to change course and seek further concessions from the EU or risk the deal falling in Parliament when Ms May asks MPs to vote on her plans next month. 

Iran must stop using innocent British prisoners as political tools, Jeremy Hunt says ahead of official visit

Foreign secretary Jeremy Hunt is travelling to Iran today to hold talks on the fate of the country’s nuclear deal, Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe – the British Iranian woman who has spent two and half years under imprisonment charged with spying in Tehran – and the coming peace talks aimed at ending the Yemen war.

Mr Hunt is the first western foreign minister to visit the country since Donald Trump unilaterally abandoned the deal and imposed sanctions on Iran and punitive penalties on foreign companies which continue to do business with Tehran.

The other signatories to the Joint Comprehensive Plan Of Action (JCPOA) – Britain, France, Germany, Russia and China – have repeatedly stressed that Iran is abiding by the agreement, as has the UN. The European Union is putting in place commercial mechanisms aimed at compensating firms which suffer from American penalties.

Theresa May is now speaking at the Confederation of British Industry (CBI). She says there is one paramount issue facing the country at the moment - and no surprises - it's Brexit. 
 
May says she is confident a deal can be struck at the weekend during the EU council summit - and then a vote in the House of Commons in the days and weeks afterwards. 
 
The PM says the UK values the contribution of immigration in recent years - but once we've left the EU "we will be fully in control of who comes here" and says EU nationals will no longer be able to "jump the queue". She says immigration controls will be based on talent and skill. 
 
"We want an immigration system for the future that everyone can have confidence in," she adds.
 
 
May says the new relationship with the EU must set the country on the path towards a more prosperous future. "Jobs depend on us getting this right," she says - and the government has unashamedly put the economy first in the negotiations.
 
The PM says the most striking economic success story of the last few years is the "jobs miracle" in the UK. "Wages rose by 2.3 per cent - the biggest rise in a decade," she says. 
 
May says she got into politics to give people a fair shot to get on in life. "Businesses should be a force for good," she says urging business leaders to "step up" and invest in the future of the next generation. 
 
She says that businesses must do more to make the case for free markets - and the government will work with them "every step of the way".
 
 
 
She is now taking questions - she tells the BBC "don't just listen to politicians - listen to what businesses say" in regards to people trashing the deal and calling for her resignation. 
 
She says she wants to deliver on the Brexit vote - and "the deal delivers on the Brexit vote". 
On the transition period, May says it is important it is over by the next election, which is due in the summer of 2022. She adds that there is the option to extend the agreed period beyond December 2020 "for a short period of time".
 
This comes after Michel Barnier, the EU's chief Brexit negotiator, said an extension of the transition - as permitted by the withdrawal agreement - could not be indefinite. 

"Any prolongation of the transition period, which requires agreement with the British on their financial contribution during any such period, but, anyway it can't be indefinite, it has to be a fixed period of time."

He added: "I believe that we will make a final and specific proposal for these purposes during the course of this week.

"So, we would fix a final moment for up to which we can have a single prolongation of the transition.

"And, of course, this will all be by mutual agreement between the United Kingdom and the 27 member states."

Britain could stay tied to EU rules until after next general election under Theresa May's deal

The Brexit deal negotiated by Theresa May could see Britain tied to EU rules until after the next general election, under proposals being considered by negotiators.

The plans, discussed by EU27 ministers in Brussels on Monday, open the door to an incoming government reversing Brexit before the UK has fully left the bloc’s orbit.

Michel Barnier confirmed on Monday morning that EU leaders are in discussions about a one-time, fixed length extension to the transition period during which all EU rules continue to apply to Britain.

Theresa May faces defeat over plan to force release of economic analysis of her Brexit plans

There are enough Tory rebels backing the plan to defeat the government with support from opposition parties

May says Brexit deal will stop EU citizens 'jumping queue' into UK

Jeremy Corbyn will accuse the government of having delivered a 'worst of all worlds' deal
David Mundell, the Scottish secretary, has said a no-deal Brexit would be "catastrophic" for Scotland.
 
He told BBC Scotland: "I'm supporting the deal because I believe a no-deal outcome would be catastrophic for Scotland.

"I believe it would be a fundamental threat to the continuation of the United Kingdom and therefore in the round you have to weigh up all the issues.
 
"These are difficult and complex judgments but I'm not prepared to countenance a no-deal outcome for Scotland.


The Independent has launched its #FinalSay campaign to demand that voters are given a voice on the final Brexit deal.

Sign our petition here

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