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Daily Record
Daily Record
Politics
Chris Curtis

Boris Johnson tipped for 28 seat majority but hung parliament not ruled out in latest poll

A major poll has predicted the Tories will win a Parliamentary majority of 28 seats at the General Election .

The second YouGov MRP poll suggests the Boris Johnson 's Conservatives will win 339 seats in 2019, a rise of 22 from 2017/

While Labour will lose 31 and end up with a total of 231.

But it is a drop of 40 seats from a previous YouGov poll in November that predicted the Tories would have a 68-seat majority.

If the election was held tomorrow, the research suggests the Lib Dems would win 15 seats, three more than in 2017, while the SNP would gain six for an overall total of 41.

According to the poll, Plaid and the Green Party will see no change from four and one seats won in 2017 respectively.

Pollsters think Labour would lose 31 seats if the election was held tomorrow (Getty Images)

In terms of total seats, 339 would be the Conservative's best election performance since Margaret Thatcher was leader in 1987.

But if Labour drop to 231 it would mean the party's worst performance since 1983.

YouGov has interviewed approximately 100,000 people about their voting intentions in the past seven days.

It said the margin of error could put the final number of Tory seats anywhere between 311 and 367, suggesting a hung Parliament cannot be ruled out.

Chris Curtis, YouGov's Political Research Manager, said: "Our latest and final poll shows that a small Conservative majority is likely, with the Tories taking 22 more seats than in 2017 and Labour losing 31.

"This would be the best and worst results respectively for each party since the 80s.

"But the margins are extremely tight and small swings in a small number of seats, perhaps from tactical voting and a continuation of Labour's recent upward trend, means we can't currently rule out a hung parliament.

"As things currently stand there are 85 seats with a margin of error of 5% or less."

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