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Below the Line: What might happen to the major party that loses the election? – podcast

By Benjamin Clark, Deputy Engagement Editor, The Conversation

An existential moment for the Liberal party? Another female leader for Labor? In this episode of our election podcast Below the Line, our expert panel talk us through what might happen to the major parties if they do not win government.

Led by award-winning broadcaster Jon Faine, the panel talks through the potential configurations of the next federal parliament, including the possible balance of power in both chambers.

Polling expert Simon Jackman analyses the latest voter surveys and tells us why a Labor victory still looks very likely at this stage. Anika Gauja maps the key contests in the Senate and the likelihood of minor parties and independents holding decisive votes.

Andrea Carson scores the final leaders’ debate and argues that Channel Seven’s format gave voters a better look at policy issues than the previous debate on Channel Nine. Some 811,000 Australians tuned in to watch Wednesday night’s event, but Faine wonders whether voters have heard enough about the issues they truly care about.

“The debate’s range of topics was still pretty narrow,” says Carson. “I think it was noted for what wasn’t debated rather than what was,” says Faine, who lists tax reform, industrial relations and Indigenous affairs as important but missing policy issues.

The panel also contemplates the Liberal party’s future if key moderates lose their seats, and whether it will move further to the right. Gauja lists the likely names to lead Labor if Anthony Albanese suffers a shock defeat on May 21.

Below the Line is brought to you by The Conversation and La Trobe University. It is produced by Courtney Carthy and Benjamin Clark.


Image credit: Lukas Coch/AAP; Mick Tsikas/AAP

Disclosure: Simon Jackman is an unpaid consultant on polling data for the Climate 200 network of independent candidates.

The Conversation

This article was originally published on The Conversation. Read the original article.

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Dive Deeper:
Below the Line: What issues are politicians ignoring this election? – podcast
Channel Nine’s leaders’ debate on Sunday night may have been a “shouty, unedifying spectacle”, but Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese…
Were minor parties the big winners? 3 experts on the final leaders' debate
Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese faced off in the third and final leaders’ debate on Wednesday night on the Seven…
Grattan on Friday: It's Albanese's to lose, as Morrison looks for some momentum
The Liberals have used John Howard extensively during this campaign. These days, they celebrate their party hero as the great…
Queensland shows what happens when liberals desert the Liberal party
The state Liberal National party’s pursuit of conservative causes has contributed to it being all but banished from Brisbane
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
Labor retains large Newspoll lead but Albanese's ratings fall; special poll gives Labor clear House majority
A Newspoll, conducted May 10-13 from a sample of 1,532, gave Labor a 54-46 lead, unchanged from the previous week’s…
With surgery waitlists in crisis and a workforce close to collapse, why haven’t we had more campaign promises about health?
This election campaign has been somewhat different to most past campaigns. Traditionally, the Coalition campaigns on the economy and defence,…
Get all your news in one place