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Liverpool Echo
Liverpool Echo
Sport
Ricky Charlesworth

Barcelona 'twice more likely' than Liverpool to win Champions League according to data analysts

Liverpool are through to the last-16 of the Champions League - and now their fate in the competition has been predicted by a super-computer.

The Reds secured a win over Ajax on Tuesday night to seal top spot in Group D with a game to spare.

Curtis Jones' second half winner proved the difference as Jurgen Klopp's side rubber-stamped top spot with 12 points.

The draw for the next round is not until December 14 but world-renowned data analysts FiveThirtyEight have done the totting up and have come up with a table of the most likely winners of this year's competition.

And they predict that the Reds are fourth favourites to seal a seventh European crown.

Their probabilities say that Klopp's men have a seven per cent chance of winning next year's final at the Atatürk Stadium in Istanbul - the scene of their monumental 2005 triumph over AC Milan.

The data suggests that Barcelona are twice as likely to lift the trophy (14 per cent), with German giants Bayern Munich predicted at 19 per cent.

The study shows that Manchester City are favourites to seal a maiden Champions League success.

Pep Guardiola's side, whose best showing in the competition was reaching the semi-final stage in 2015/16, are rated as having a 23 per cent chance of winning the competition.

Fellow English clubs Chelsea (five per cent) and Manchester United (four per cent) are predicted to have little chance of achieving success, according to the forecast.

FiveThirtyEight's predictions on who will win this year's Champions League (probability percentage)

Man City - 23%

Bayern Munich - 19%

Barcelona - 14%

Liverpool - 7%

Dortmund - 6%

Chelsea - 5%

Man United - 4%

PSG - 4%

Atletico - 3%

Real Madrid - 3%

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