Baftas 2016: Peter Bradshaw predicts the winners

From clockwise: Leonardo DiCaprio in The Revenant, Asif Kapadia’s documentary Amy, Benicio del Toro in Sicario and Saoirse Ronan in Brooklyn. Photograph: Allstar Picture LIbrary, 2015 Twentieth Century Fox Film Corporation, AP, REX Features

Best film

Will win: The Revenant
Should win: Carol
Shoulda been a contender: 45 Years

Outstanding British film

Will win: Brooklyn
Should win: 45 Years
Shoulda been a contender: The Falling

Best film not in the English language

Will win: Force Majeure
Should win: Force Majeure
Shoulda been a contender: Girlhood

Best documentary

Will win: Amy
Should win: Amy
Shoulda been a contender: My Nazi Legacy

Best animated film

Will win: Inside Out
Should win: Inside Out
Shoulda been a contender: Miss Hokusai

Best director

Will win: Steven Spielberg for Bridge of Spies
Should win: Alejandro González Iñárittu for The Revenant
Shoulda been a contender: Mia Hansen-Løve for Eden

Best original screenplay

Will win: Spotlight
Should win: The Hateful Eight
Shoulda been a contender: Mistress America

Best adapted screenplay

Will win: Steve Jobs
Should win: Carol
Shoulda been a contender: Sunset Song

Best actor

Will win: Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant
Should win: Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant
Shoulda been a contender: Ralph Fiennes for A Bigger Splash

Best actress

Will win: Saoirse Ronan for Brooklyn
Should win: Saoirse Ronan for Brooklyn
Shoulda been a contender: Toni Collette for Miss You Already

Best supporting actor

Will win: Benicio Del Toro for Sicario
Should win: Idris Elba for Beasts of No Nation
Shoulda been a contender: Richard Johnson for Radiator

Best supporting actress

Julie Walters in Brooklyn Photograph: Allstar/LIONSGATE

Will win: Julie Walters for Brooklyn
Should win: Jennifer Jason Leigh for The Hateful Eight
Shoulda been a contender: Olivia Colman for THE LOBSTER