Temperatures tomorrow will once again climb into the 40s in many regions across the fire zones. Thunderstorms are also predicted, which, as we have seen, can bring their own dangers - lightning has been one of the big issues this summer, sparking blazes.
Firefighters will be working through the night, as they have so many nights before since this all started in September. They are working on containing what they can ahead of tomorrow’s fire conditions. A massive thank you to all those on the ground, and the countless others helping to support them - including all the families anxiously waiting at home. We think of you, and we are with you.
To the journalists and photographers out in the field today - thank you for the incredible job you did bringing us information from the fire field - and in the case of our Mike Bowers, Chris Knaus, the SMH and the Age’s Alex Ellinghausen and SBS’s Brett Mason and others, (please forgive me for omitted names - it’s hard to pick out all the faces from the smoke) helped Laurence Cowie protect his property. It’s not the first time media professionals have picked up tools to help out where they can, and it won’t be the last - but we thank them too, and we are overwhelmingly grateful that today, everyone went home safe.
If you are in the firezones, please keep an eye on updates from your local authorities. Once again, if they advise you to leave, it is often best to do so. If you choose to stay, make sure you have a plan for all contingencies. Fire comes up quick - quicker than you can imagine, if you haven’t experienced it before - it’s dark, and hot, and louder than you think, and so overwhelmingly, you often don’t know where to look because it’s around you from all sides. So please, stay safe.
We’ll be back tomorrow. Take care of you.
In Victoria, the Bonang fire in east Gippsland is still at emergency level.
There are several still at the watch and act level though - Bendoc, Bendoc Upper, Bendoc North, Marlo and Tabbara.
We are going to leave it there for the night, but we will be back tomorrow to keep you updated.
There is a cool change coming through in the next hour or so for parts of south-eastern Australia, but there is still an emergency alert for the Clear Range fire (in the Snowy Monaro) which Mike Bowers and Chris Knaus, along with other media, were caught up in a little earlier today (don’t worry - they, along with the owners of the property they were helping, and their horses, who you might have seen in some photos posted earlier, are all OK. Thankfully)
From the RFS:
Current Situation
- A number of spot fires have started as a result of the Orroral Valley bush fire in the ACT.
- These fires are spreading quickly in a south-easterly direction towards Bredbo.
- There is an immediate threat to properties and lives in the areas of Colinton, Michelago and Bredbo.
- Firefighters and aircraft are working to slow the spread of these fires where possible.
- The Monaro Highway is closed.
- Dangerous fire conditions are forecast today, with a Severe fire danger forecast.
- Under these conditions, fires will spread quickly and embers may be blown ahead of the main firefront. These embers may start new fires.
- Fire activity has also increased in the area to the west of The Angle.
- This map shows the potential spread of fire. It is based on the latest fire predictions and weather forecast.
- For more information on the Orroral Valley fire please follow the link to the ESA Website.
Advice
Colinton, Michelago and Bredbo area
- If you are the area of Colinton, Michelago and Bredbo, you are at risk.
- It is too late to leave.
- Seek shelter as the fire approaches. Protect yourself from the heat of the fire by sheltering in a solid structure.
- If you are away from the area, you will not be able to return. The Monaro Highway is closed.
Surrounding areas including Tinderry, Anembo, Jernagle, Chakola
- Be alert for embers being blown ahead of the main fire front. These may start spot fire and threaten properties before the main fire front arrives.
- Follow your bush fire survival plan. If you don’t have a plan, know what you will do if the fire threatens.
Yes it has been.
Tomorrow’s predicted thunderstorms also bring their own worries
Another difficult day in NSW particularly in the South East of the state. Please take the advice of our emergency service personnel and stay updated on the firesnearmensw app for the latest information. @NSWRFS @FRNSW pic.twitter.com/vLmFHzUvbZ
— Gladys Berejiklian (@GladysB) February 1, 2020
AAP has an update on the NSW fire situation:
The Rural Fire Service warned there was an immediate threat to properties and lives from the Clear Range fire in the areas of Colinton, Michelago and Bredbo.
The out-of-control Clear Range blaze was created from embers that moved kilometres from the ACT’s large Orroral Valley fire.
Snowy Monaro Regional Council asked residents in the tiny town of Bredbo - which had a population of just 352 people in 2016 - to reduce their water usage where possible “to ensure there’s enough water for emergency firefighting efforts”.
“Water is currently being used faster than it can replenished,” the council posted on Facebook on Saturday evening.
RFS Commissioner Shane Fitzsimmons said there had been no reported damage to homes.
However, structures such as horse stables, sheds and other outbuildings have been lost to fires in the region, he said.
An RFS spokeswoman on Saturday night said there had been unconfirmed reports of possibly five structures lost.
The Clear Range fire will continue to be a key focus for the RFS on Sunday, the spokeswoman said.
A southerly wind change is expected to push through very late on Saturday night and “with any wind change comes added complexities and potential new threats,” she said.
The type of vegetation on the fireground means the blaze can become quite erratic and spot ahead of itself, which can cause very difficult conditions for firefighters to manage.
“We do urge people in the communities in the entire perimeter of that fire to have a plan in place and to continue to monitor conditions because things are very likely to change with the wind changing over the next 24 hours,” she said.
“Keeping in mind tomorrow is still going to be a very hot day with those winds - whilst it’s (forecast to be) better than today, it’s going to be a key focus for us.”
Parliament returning next week will be a breeze compared to the summer
This was just after the fire had past pic.twitter.com/bbm1Fx8OA8
— Mikearoo (@mpbowers) February 1, 2020
This was from very early this morning - what the weather systems created by the fires look like from above
Horrible fire day across Victoria & New South Wales in Australia today.
— Dakota Smith (@weatherdak) January 31, 2020
Pyrocumulus, gravity waves embedded in these huge plumes. pic.twitter.com/cqzVNg4huy
And here is how Mike Bowers saw it from the ground:
Emergency warning issued for Bonang, Victoria
The east Gippsland fire continues to cause issues for emergency services.
It is too late to leave if you are in the path of the Bonang blaze.
From the CFA:
This Emergency Warning is being issued for Bonang.
- There is a bushfire 2 km west of Bonang that is out of control.
- The bushfire is travelling in a south-easterly direction and has crossed the Orbost-Bonang Road.
- The forecast wind change could take the fire towards Bonang.
- Firefighting resources are in the area to assist with asset protection.
- There is a spot fire south of Legges Rd and North of Errinundra Rd.
You are in danger and need to act immediately to survive.
The safest option is to take shelter indoors immediately. It is too late to leave.
EMERGENCY WARNING has been issued for Bonang.
— CFA Updates (@CFA_Updates) February 1, 2020
There is a bushfire 2 km west of Bonang that is out of control.
You are in danger and need to act immediately to survive.
More info https://t.co/RAEunK9620#vicfires pic.twitter.com/KfApzGYLEu
We’ve just made our way out past the police roadblock on the Monaro Highway, which links Canberra with Bredbo, Michelago, Cooma and the Snowy Mountains region.
As we drove out to safety, fire crews were still battling a number of grass fires on both sides of the highway. The fires were moving through paddocks but conditions were noticeably better.
The winds had dropped. The temperature was down. The flames weren’t moving with same intensity and unpredictability as earlier
Hopefully this helps firefighters get on top of the Clear Range bushfire, still at emergency level, which has burned through vast swathes since it began as a spot fire from the Orroral Valley fire in Namadgi.
BC Radio has reported homes have been lost in the region around the towns of Bredbo and Michelago, though we still don’t know how many. Thankfully, there are no reports of injuries.
Having seen the fire first-hand with Mike Bowers, that is truly incredible news.
Fires still ripping through grassland north of Bredbo as the sun goes down. This is just off the Monaro Highway. #bushfire @AmyRemeikis pic.twitter.com/JDOVQY04tb
— Christopher Knaus (@knausc) February 1, 2020
Chris Knaus has written about being caught in a firestorm, with Mike Bowers.
For those who have been lucky enough to avoid being caught in a bushfire, it takes you through the absolute terror of that noise and the colour - and then absence of it - as a fire takes hold.
I’m just glad everyone is OK.
Canberra has set another temperature record this month:
With 42.7ºC in #Canberra today, the city has now set new maximum temperature records during all three months of this summer. The records are:
— Ben Domensino (@Ben_Domensino) February 1, 2020
December: 41.1ºC
January: 44.0ºC
February: 42.7ºC
Credit to @DavidMohr5 for the tip-off on this impressive statistic.
If you are in NSW or the ACT and are thinking it is warmer than usual for this time of year, you are both right and wrong. It is not unusual for it to be this warm, but it is unusual for it to be this humid - and for the hot air to be trapped for this long.
The weather bureau tell us that is because warm, moist air has traveled down from the Northern Territory and Queensland. It’s become trapped by the storms in Victoria, which has pushed the air across the ACT and NSW - making it pretty challenging for firefighters.
There is not expected to be any notable cool down until around 11pm, when a southerly pushes through. But even then, it won’t be enough, with the hot air expected to stick around until Monday.
There is a cool change coming. It’s just some time away.
Another tough day for firefighters and communities across NSW. #nswrfs #nswfires https://t.co/zmiulb4a25
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) February 1, 2020
Poor air quality is also expected tomorrow, for those in Sydney.
Poor air quality is expected in #Sydney on Sunday as a weak southerly change carries smoke from fires on the South Coast. NSW Health #Bushfire #Smoke Factsheet: https://t.co/1kFqdL2cK2 Air quality readings: https://t.co/64gebkBQa9 Sydney forecast: https://t.co/lnZQdONrwI pic.twitter.com/Ei609SlJ1X
— Bureau of Meteorology, New South Wales (@BOM_NSW) February 1, 2020
Tomorrow, Sunday 2 February, there are no Total Fire Bans in place.
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) February 1, 2020
Very High Fire Danger is expected for 7 areas: North Coast, Gtr Hunter, Gtr Sydney, Illawarra/Shoalhaven, Central Ranges, Northern Slopes & North Western.
Fore more: https://t.co/fpZQ7vVJzk#nswrfs #nswfires pic.twitter.com/Gj4doT8Y6h
For those wondering, it is 38 degrees in Canberra at the moment. It’s almost 8pm.
It is still over 30 degrees as NSW firefighters brace themselves for the night ahead.
The Clear Range fire is still at emergency level.
The Clyde Mountain Fire (near Batemans Bay) is still at watch and act.
There are more than 60 fires burning across NSW at the moment. At least 20 are not contained.
Updated
Because some of you have asked, here are some more of Mike Bower’s pictures from today:
Colinton is about 70km south of Canberra
calderwood brigade are on scene here at colinton town heading off the massive fire and attempting to stop it from travelling further east @ACT_ESA #OrroralValley #CanberraFires @NSWRFS #NSWRFS #NSWfires #AustralianFires#CanberraFires pic.twitter.com/GWarqx8ziS
— Calderwood RFS (@calderwoodrfs) February 1, 2020
Fires still ripping through grassland north of Bredbo as the sun goes down. This is just off the Monaro Highway. #bushfire @AmyRemeikis pic.twitter.com/JDOVQY04tb
— Christopher Knaus (@knausc) February 1, 2020
There is a lot of appreciation coming through on social media for all of the firefighters who continue to battle this summer’s blazes. Justifiably so.
Oh Amy, please report on the DC-10 guys. These guys are heroes keeping Canberra safe pic.twitter.com/HRBAWU3r01
— HandmaidAus (@AusHandmaid) February 1, 2020
Mike Bowers and Chris Knaus were both at Laurence Cowie’s property as the Bredbo fire flared up.
Laurence Cowie came out onto Bumbalong road this morning when he saw me watching the fire approach & invited me to his property, I ended up-with other media and his partner Claire-helping to defend his property Tallabrook Lodge #pairofLegends pic.twitter.com/sevAEp5elQ
— Mikearoo (@mpbowers) February 1, 2020
To update you further on Victoria, AAP reports:
Western and southern parts of the state are in for a soaking on Saturday off the back of a humid night, while eastern parts of the state battle dry conditions and fires.
“When it comes to the weather, it is really a tale of two states,” Emergency Management Commissioner Andrew Crisp told reporters on Saturday afternoon.
Damaging winds and heavy rainfall is likely in parts of the state’s north and central areas, with an emergency thunderstorm warning due to a destructive storm near Seymour.
“While we have seen some terrific rainfall over Victoria ... There is the risk of some isolated falls that will be heavy and dangerous,” Bureau of Meteorology’s Peter Otto said.
Heavy rain hit parts of the Wimmera, with Nhill recording 61mm by 9am on Saturday, Dimbola 51mm, Longerenong 42mm and Horsham 40mm.
It comes after an oppressive night with the humidity in Melbourne and Victoria earlier on Saturday comparable to Darwin and Singapore, Mr Otto said.
Ten fires are active in Victoria but heavy rain is expected to miss them.
Further on the downgrade on the Cape Conran fire in Victoria, to Watch and Act, AAP reports:
Several ‘watch and act’ warnings are also in place across the east and northeast, covering Bendoc, Bendoc Upper, Bendoc North, Marlo, Tabbara and Wulgulmerang.
A cool change is moving east across the state but it remains unusually humid.
It comes after western and southern parts of the state were drenched in rain on Saturday after a humid Friday night.
For context, for those who didn’t see it, here is what it looked like when that fire came up.
Laurence Cowie watches the fire sweep down from the hills above his property Tallabrook Lodge near Bredbo-during a chaotic 40 mins he saved his house and lost his stables-the horses were ok @GuardianAus @AmyRemeikis @_LisaMCox #bushfiresNSW pic.twitter.com/utqfx3X54k
— Mikearoo (@mpbowers) February 1, 2020
This fire came up very, very quickly.
By contrast, this is what it looked like before the fires hit us properly. Never seen anything like it. Hellish #bushfires @AmyRemeikis https://t.co/RgxO6LleSY pic.twitter.com/hzF8R9GBia
— Christopher Knaus (@knausc) February 1, 2020
Erindale College in Canberra is acting as an evacuation centre. It can hold up to 1500 people and the ADF is already in place. But it it not set up for overnight accommodation - instead, it is giving people a reprieve from the smoke and fire at the southern Canberra border, with local hotels stepping in to provide any overnight stays which may be necessary.
The fires at the ACT border have a lot of people - who still hold the memory of 2003 - very nervous.
It's calm now at Laurence Cowie's property. Everything around us is scorched. Laurence says 120 hay bales he needs to feed his starving animals are gone. "I've been stockpiling to save starving animals," he says "Now I've got starving animals and no feed." #bushfires @AmyRemeikis pic.twitter.com/vIdYmy9Yb4
— Christopher Knaus (@knausc) February 1, 2020
VicEmergency has updated its warning for Cape Conran and Marlo Plains.
It has been changed to a Watch and Act.
***This WATCH & ACT message replaces the Emergency Warning issued at 3:44pm***
— VicEmergency (@vicemergency) February 1, 2020
This WATCH & ACT message is being issued for Cape Conran and Marlo Plains. The bushfire at Cape Conran is not yet under control.
More conditions here https://t.co/ffLfErmCBH pic.twitter.com/nINofNlOyU
A very big thank you to Lisa Cox for all her work today. And to everyone who is out covering today’s fire emergency.
You have Amy Remeikis for the rest of the evening.
House on the frontline of the Clear Range Fire. Spotting has been a constant problem especially further south near Colinton and Bredbo. Wind has shifted from the north to the west #NSWfires #abcnews #clearrangefire pic.twitter.com/cjmlquLibf
— Phil Williams (@PhilWilliamsABC) February 1, 2020
Here is the latest from the NSW RFS on fire conditions expected on Sunday. There are no total fire bans anywhere in the state. Very high fire danger is forecast for seven areas, including Greater Sydney, the Greater Hunter and Illawarra/Shoalhaven.
Tomorrow, Sunday 2 February, there are no Total Fire Bans in place.
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) February 1, 2020
Very High Fire Danger is expected for 7 areas: North Coast, Gtr Hunter, Gtr Sydney, Illawarra/Shoalhaven, Central Ranges, Northern Slopes & North Western.
Fore more: https://t.co/fpZQ7vVJzk#nswrfs #nswfires pic.twitter.com/Gj4doT8Y6h
As flames travel down Mt Tennent, a drop of retardant now forms a defensive perimeter to slow the fire. This activity is a key tool in containing the Orroral Valley Fire as it moves through heavy timbers towards rural properties south of Tharwa. #OrroralValleyFire #CanberraFires pic.twitter.com/Oqq1c5x2go
— ACT ESA (@ACT_ESA) February 1, 2020
Authorities have been talking today about these fires creating their own weather patterns. Guardian Australia photographer Mike Bowers took this shot near Bredbo.
Just a glimpse of the pyrocumulus cloud, building above the fire through a break in the smoke above Bumbalong road North of Bredbo @AmyRemeikis @GuardianAus #bushfiresAustralia pic.twitter.com/lHXk6MqcPz
— Mikearoo (@mpbowers) February 1, 2020
Updated
Summary
Here is a wrap of the current fire conditions:
Five fires in NSW are at emergency warning level:
- The Clear Range fire remains at emergency warning level. People in Michelago, Colinton and Bredbo should seek shelter, it is too late to leave. There is a threat to lives and property. If you are from these areas and are away, you are advised not to return at present.
- This fire is spreading quickly in a south-easterly direction. People should be aware of ember attacks. Embers may blow ahead of the main front and start new fires before the main front arrives.
- It is expected to be at least a few hours before there is any easing of conditions.
- Elsewhere, the Border Fire, Big Jack Mountain fire and Postmans Trail fire in the Bega Valley are at emergency warning level.
- The Creewah Road fire in the Snowy Monaro region is at emergency warning level.
The Orroral Valley fire in the ACT was upgraded to emergency warning level this afternoon, but has since been downgraded again to watch and act level.
- The fire had been heading towards Boboyan Road, Naas Road, Top Naas Road and Apollo Road. People in the vicinity of these areas are advised to remain vigilant and to stay informed about fire activity. Conditions could become more dangerous again.
- Joe Murphy, the chief officer of the ACT RFS, told ABC Canberra authorities are watching for a possible wind change this evening.
In Victoria, a fire at Cape Conran in the East Gippsland region has been burning at emergency warning level, with people told to seek shelter.
Another difficult day in NSW particularly in the South East of the state. Please take the advice of our emergency service personnel and stay updated on the firesnearmensw app for the latest information. @NSWRFS @FRNSW pic.twitter.com/vLmFHzUvbZ
— Gladys Berejiklian (@GladysB) February 1, 2020
More smoke and poor air quality is forecast for Sydney tomorrow.
Poor air quality is expected in #Sydney on Sunday as a weak southerly change carries smoke from fires on the South Coast. NSW Health #Bushfire #Smoke Factsheet: https://t.co/1kFqdL2cK2 Air quality readings: https://t.co/64gebkBQa9 Sydney forecast: https://t.co/lnZQdONrwI pic.twitter.com/Ei609SlJ1X
— Bureau of Meteorology, New South Wales (@BOM_NSW) February 1, 2020
The ACT ESA has downgraded the Orroral Valley fire to watch and act level.
But it is advising people in the vicinity of Apollo Road, Boboyan Road, Naas Road and Top Naas Road to remain vigilant.
WATCH AND ACT - ORRORAL VALLEY FIRE 4:40PM 01.02.20 https://t.co/tAlXC9V4cT
— ACT ESA (@ACT_ESA) February 1, 2020
This is the Erskine Creek fire burning in the #BlueMountains. The fire has been burning for several weeks in the catchment to the north of Warragamba Dam and south of Bullaburra, and has flared up this afternoon. There's no immediate threat to homes. #nswrfs #nswfires pic.twitter.com/33R8f5sx6M
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) February 1, 2020
Laurence Cowie watches the fire sweep down from the hills above his property Tallabrook Lodge near Bredbo-during a chaotic 40 mins he saved his house and lost his stables-the horses were ok @GuardianAus @AmyRemeikis @_LisaMCox #bushfiresNSW pic.twitter.com/utqfx3X54k
— Mikearoo (@mpbowers) February 1, 2020
This is what is confronting firefighters in south eastern NSW. This pic shows the fire burning near Bredbo, where warnings have been issued for dangerous weather caused by fire generated thunderstorms. #nswrfs #nswfires https://t.co/eMS9QoDQ62
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) February 1, 2020
Here is the latest on the Orroral Valley fire, which remains at an emergency warning.
It is approaching Boboyan Road, Naas Road and Apollo Road. It is moving in a south-easterly direction towards Top Naas Road.
Anyone in the area should seek shelter immediately.
EMERGENCY WARNING - ORRORAL VALLEY FIRE 4:10PM 01.02.2020 https://t.co/wvD116fVqv
— ACT ESA (@ACT_ESA) February 1, 2020
Updated
Scary day in South Canberra and surrounds.
— James Trezise (@james_trezise) February 1, 2020
Flew overhead - flames crowning and clearly visible from 10,000 ft
Looks like the Clear Range fire has ripped into @BushHeritageAus Scottsdale reserve just north of Bredbo ☹️https://t.co/KSiMHTffjN pic.twitter.com/0Ilp2yKU04
Some more images from Laurence and Claire Cowie’s property which has been under threat from the Clear Range fire.
Laurence Cowie trying to stop the flames destroying his water tank a bit earlier. #bushfires @_LisaMCox pic.twitter.com/GDf0QxGZ9C
— Christopher Knaus (@knausc) February 1, 2020
Laurence and Claire Cowie’s property just felt the full force of the Clear Range fire. We were stuck here. The highway is cut off. At first, the fires were manageable. Spot fires would ignite on the fringes and Laurence would floor his ute to the scene and extinguish each one before it could take hold.
Then, out of nowhere, a wind change sent flames barrelling towards the house. Nothing could have stopped them. From inside, you could see the fire licking at the windows from the outside.
The wind sounded like a freight train, rattling the glass. Outside, chaos. Everywhere. The smoke was so thick that breathing was impossible. Ash and dirt caught in the eyes. The horses broke loose and fled from the fire’s approach. But there was nowhere to go. At every corner of the house flames threatened. Somehow it stood. Everyone pitched in. The media crews here were on hoses, with Laurence and Claire barking orders above the roar of the wind.
Every so often, the smoke and the heat became too much and we ran inside for shelter. Twice I watched Claire and Laurence’s dogs try to break free through the open front door. Each time they were caught just before they could run into the chaos outside.
The worst is over now. At the end of a terrifying 15 minutes, only the stables and a tractor had been razed to the ground. Truly a miracle. Blackened ground is within metres of the house on all sides. The “Well what can you do, we’re alive,” Claire said once it was done. “We’ve got a house. Not a lot of fencing left.”The horses, thankfully, survived. Their three dogs are safe too.
Fire generated thunderstorms are developing over a number of fires in south-eastern NSW. These are very dangerous for anyone nearby, including firefighters. You can learn more about these pyro-cumulonimbus clouds at https://t.co/4sdQuRW6Kc #nswrfs #nswfires @BOM_NSW pic.twitter.com/i3I7Ylzpn5
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) February 1, 2020
Some more from that press conference. Fire activity is increasing on all sides of the Orroral Valley fire.
On its western flank, it has broken containment lines and is heading west towards Mt Franklin Road.
Spot fires are occurring up to 10km in front of the main fire front.
Whelan says the intensity of the Orroral fire will increase over the next six hours. That will include more erratic fire behaviour because of the unpredictable conditions created by the fires own weather patterns.
Spot fires from the Clear Range fire, which has been burning at emergency level most of the day, are increasing and are expected to merge with the main fire.
It is currently 41C in Canberra and it is expected to remain that hot until 8pm. Temperatures will only drop slightly after that.
“We have along, variable night ahead of us,” Whelan says.
The ACT chief minister, Andrew Barr, and the ACT ESA commissioner, Georgeina Whelan, have given an update.
Conditions are getting worse.
The Orroral Valley fire, as we’ve just heard, has been upgraded to an emergency warning.
Barr says the ESA is preparing should the risk to Tharwa and Banks increase in coming hours.
“We again remind Canberrans, especially those in southern Tuggeranong, to remain vigilant this afternoon. The fire is growing and it may become unpredictable,” he says.
Whelan says the Orroral Valley fire is approaching Boboyan Road, Naas Road and Apollo Road.
People should seek shelter. Driving is extremely dangerous and potentially deadly.
She says the fire is now 35,800 hectares in size and is currently 2km from Tharwa and 7km from Banks.
“The fire is currently 400m from grassland on the northern side of Mount Tennent,” Whelan says.
“It is expected to be up to one to two hours before it reaches the grasslands.
“At this time ... active suppression will commence. And by that I mean firefighters on the ground, supported by aerial attack.”
But Whelan says that on the southern edge the fire has created its own weather system. She says the intensity will increase over the next few hours and crews have been withdrawn from this area for their own safety.
“The core of this fire activity is to the south-east of the ACT border,” she says.
“That does not mean it will not impact on the lower edge of the ACT.”
Updated
Emergency warning for Orroral Valley fire
The Orroral Valley fire has now been upgraded to an emergency warning.
Fire activity is increasing as conditions deteriorate.
EMERGENCY WARNING - ORRORAL VALLEY FIRE 3:10PM 01.02.2020 https://t.co/VngtumAPZw
— ACT ESA (@ACT_ESA) February 1, 2020
The horses are ok.
The horses somehow made it through unscathed. That would have undone me I think. They are calmer now. Think they realise the worst has passed. #canberra @_LisaMCox https://t.co/wEnbcjb9FK pic.twitter.com/rO4ZEBo1Wk
— Christopher Knaus (@knausc) February 1, 2020
Frightening conditions at the property my colleague Christopher Knaus has been reporting from today.
Laurence and Clare Cowie's place north of Bredbo, where I'm stuck, just came perilously close to going up in flames. The fire licked at the windows at one point. By some small miracle, it survived. Chaos, terror for 15mins here. Stables gone, but that's it #bushfire @_LisaMCox pic.twitter.com/WPALD7X1gF
— Christopher Knaus (@knausc) February 1, 2020
Firefighters and aircraft are working hard to slow the fire near Bredbo. Conditions are very challenging. #nswrfs #nswfires https://t.co/OjkSAmSYYC
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) February 1, 2020
The wind gusts, when they come, are pushing the fire around at incredible speeds. At Laurence Cowie’s property north of Bredbo, there are fires on three sides of us. When the wind’s still, it’s predictable, safe.
But the gusts arrive and the fire turns instantly erratic. Flames accelerates at remarkable speeds. They reach high up into the air, up through dried out gum trees.
Cowie is busy skirting around his property in a ute. He has firefighting equipment in the back and is putting out spot fires when they threaten the fringes of his property.
At Laurence Cowie's property near Bredbo, the wind gusts are sudden and unpredictable. When they come, the fire moves at breakneck speed and flare high up into the dark sky. #bushfires @_LisaMCox pic.twitter.com/nO0LTY4MkC
— Christopher Knaus (@knausc) February 1, 2020
Updated
Some updates on road closures from ACT Policing. As of 2.20pm the following road closures were in place:
Monaro Highway between Old Cooma Road (ACT/NSW border) and Rose Valley Road (NSW), Tharwa Drive at the Knoke Avenue roundabout, Cotter Road at Brindabella Road, Point Hut Road at Jim Pike Avenue, Angle Crossing at Monaro Highway, Boboyan Road at the ACT/NSW border, Naas Road, Smiths Road.
This gives you a sense of what firefighters are dealing with today. Numerous fires are at emergency level in NSW and they are now creating their own weather.
Dangerous fire conditions are being experienced across south-eastern NSW. There are numerous fires at Emergency Warning level. These fires are creating their own weather and are spreading quickly. Stay up to date with warnings in your area. #nswrfs #nswfires pic.twitter.com/A1lcUJloPO
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) February 1, 2020
Erindale College is the evacuation centre operating from Canberra.
I’m here at the Erindale evacuation centre. The centre is accepting pets. This doggo’s name is Archie #CanberraFires pic.twitter.com/XinKv8ue1k
— Lucy Bladen (@lucybladen) February 1, 2020
Summary
Time for a wrap of where things are so far today:
- The Clear Range fire, which began as a spot fire from the Orroral Valley fire, remains at emergency warning level.
- This fire is burning near Bredbo and Michelago and conditions are deteriorating. The situation is dangerous and it is now too late to leave.
- The Monaro Highway is closed.
- Four other fires in NSW are also at emergency level. They are the Border Fire in the Bega Valley, and fires at Postmans Trail and Big Jack Mountain, also in the Bega Valley. A fire at Creewah Road, Glen Allen in the Snowy Monaro region is also burning at emergency level.
- The Bureau of Meteorology has warned conditions will get worse into the evening as north-westerly winds pick up and temperatures remain high. A change in wind direction is not forecast at this stage.
- We are not likely to see any easing of conditions until about 10pm. Difficult conditions are forecast for Sunday, with possible thunderstorms.
- In Victoria, an emergency warning is in place in the East Gippsland region for a fire at Cape Conran. It is too late to leave.
Bumbalong residents getting ready to defend their home from a bushfire south of Canberra pic.twitter.com/xXOOd0hjF7
— Alex Ellinghausen (@ellinghausen) February 1, 2020
Emergency warning for Cape Conran and Marlo Plains, Victoria
A new emergency warning has been issued in Victoria’s East Gippsland region. Residents have been told it is too late to leave.
This from AAP:
A bushfire is threatening lives and homes in Victoria’s far east. An emergency warning has been issued for the Cape Conran blaze, with residents in that community as well as Marlo Plains told it’s too late to leave.
“You are in danger and need to act immediately to survive. The safest option is to take shelter indoors immediately,” the warning on Saturday afternoon said.
***This is an updated EMERGENCY WARNING to the one previously issued at 1.00pm***
— CFA Updates (@CFA_Updates) February 1, 2020
This EMERGENCY WARNING is being issued for Cape Conran and Marlo Plains. There is a bushfire at Cape Conran that is out of control.
Monitor details via: https://t.co/WN2fdW9Hus pic.twitter.com/VgaVsW7WIy
Updated
Neil Bennett, a duty forecaster with the Bureau of Meteorology, has spoken to ABC Canberra about the conditions forecast for the remainder of today and on Sunday.
The average windspeed so far today has been 35-40km/h, with gusts reaching up to 50km/h in some areas. Those strong winds have combined with very high temperatures to create very difficult fire conditions.
Bennett says those conditions are likely to deteriorate further this afternoon.
“We would expect to see an increase in the wind gustiness during the course of the afternoon unfortunately,” he says.
He says there is not likely to be any easing of conditions until about 10pm. But he says there is no change in wind direction - which would make firefighting very difficult - forecast currently.
On Sunday, the winds could be lighter but there is a thunderstorm risk, which means conditions will remain challenging.
However, Bennett says more humid air on Sunday could reduce the risk of ignition from lighting strikes.
Guardian Australia’s photographer Mike Bowers has filmed this video near Bredbo, where people are surrounded by fire.
Fire on all sides of us here at Bumbalong Road near Bredbo NSW @_LisaMCox @GuardianAus #biishfiresnsw pic.twitter.com/00i1cOJ4n8
— Mikearoo (@mpbowers) February 1, 2020
Updated
Those worsening conditions appear to be arriving just as forecast.
The satellite is showing the flaring up of the fires in the #ACT and South East #NSW as conditions deteriorate. Stay up to date on the fires with the NSW #RFS: https://t.co/SZEin4f9XX and the latest weather warnings and conditions: https://t.co/DUZMx9X5L7 pic.twitter.com/31yjqgz0HY
— Bureau of Meteorology, New South Wales (@BOM_NSW) February 1, 2020
Updated
Residents south of Canberra and in the southern suburbs are being urged to remain vigilant.
ORRORAL VALLEY FIRE 1PM UPDATE: People in Boboyan Rd, Apollo Rd, Top Naas Rd and Naas Rd need to remain vigilant. Conditions are changing and could get worse. There is currently no threat to ACT southern suburbs, but conditions can change quickly. Stay informed. https://t.co/6xXqOW3ak8
— ACT Policing (@ACTPolicing) February 1, 2020
Updated
Mike Bowers has taken an extraordinary series of images near Bredbo.
I’m still at Laurence Cowie’s property, north of Bredbo. We’ve just watched a spot fire take hold in some tea trees nearby. The trees are hidden behind a hill but as the fire catches we see a thick plume of black smoke rise up above the ridgeline.
Out of nowhere, the fire moves with a speed I’ve never seen before. It catches and tears along the ridgeline just west of Cowie’s home. Nothing could have outrun it.
Cowie is not fazed. We’re downhill from the flames – fire moves faster uphill – and the wind is moving the other way, he says. There’s also no fuel in his paddocks. So it’ll move slowly if it does approach the house.
Updated
Looks like things are rapidly getting worse for those fighting the Clear Range fire.
Firefighters and aircraft are working hard to slow the spread of the Clear Range fire which is burning near Bredo and Michelago. Conditions are deteriorating. #nswrfs #nswfires pic.twitter.com/nnPtMENmhD
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) February 1, 2020
I've just watched a spot fire start in a set of tea trees and tear up a ridgeline faster than I thought possible. It burned through about 500m in 20 seconds. Terrifying. RFS crews racing in response. #bushfires @_LisaMCox pic.twitter.com/zskHjLHdKa
— Christopher Knaus (@knausc) February 1, 2020
Conditions are deteriorating on the NSW south coast near Bega.
The Big Jack Mountain Fire in the Bega Valley is flaring up this afternoon. Difficult conditions for firefighters and aircraft. #nswrfs #nswfires pic.twitter.com/lj2xp7mZe7
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) February 1, 2020
AAP has published this summary of situation in NSW:
Emergency warnings are in place for two fires in southeast NSW with homes under threat and a key highway closed.
People in Michelago and Bredbo, near the ACT border, were warned on Saturday morning properties were under threat from the Clear Range fire in southeast NSW.
That blaze – created from embers that moved kilometres from the ACT’s large Orroral Valley fire – has also led to the closure of the Monaro Highway.
Unprepared people in Michelago were urged to evacuate to Canberra, while unprepared people in Colinton should go to Cooma.
“If you are away from the area, you will not be able to return,” the RFS warned.
Homes are also under threat near Tantawangalo, south of Bemboka.
“Seek shelter as the fire approaches. Protect yourself from the heat of the fire by sheltering in a solid structure,” the RFS told those near Tantawangalo Mountain Road.
The Orroral Valley fire and the Big Jack Mountain fire near Mount Darragh are subject of watch-and-act alerts.
Five regions in the southeast quarter of NSW are under total fire ban on Saturday, with severe fire danger forecast.
The NSW Rural Fire Service has declared total fire bans on Saturday for the southern slopes, southern ranges, far south coast, Monaro alpine and Illawarra/Shoalhaven regions.
Temperatures are expected to hit 45C in some parts. Nerriga cracked 40C minutes after midday.
“We are in for a very hot and very long day today,” the RFS said on Saturday.
Heatwave conditions are expected to peak in NSW on Saturday, while thunderstorms – which may ignite new blazes – are also possible in parts of the south coast by Sunday morning.
Laurence Cowie is standing on his porch, watching the hills to the west of his property burn. He plans to stare down the Clear Range fire that’s burning near Bredbo, at the ACT/NSW border.
Cowie has been here 29 years. He’s lived through the disastrous 2003 fires. But he thinks this fire has more destructive potential for those living east of the Murrumbidgee River, where his property is.
Still, Cowie’s relaxed. He’s had experience with the RFS and is well prepared. RFS crews have just turned up to help.
“I’ve got the beer on ice,” he jokes to the Guardian. “Power’s always the first thing to go. Warm beer: it’s deadly.”
The horses on his property are far less settled. They’re skittish as the flames burn in their direction and the sky darkens to an orange black.
“They’re not settled. That’s a problem. Horses, livestock is always a problem. We’ve also got a couple dozen head of cattle. All we could do was cut open the fences and let them try to fend for themselves.
“It’s not a great plan but it’s all we could do really. Sometimes you just need a bit of luck in this situation. Well there’s always luck. But you just need good luck.”
His horses are less relaxed. They are growing skittish, pacing nervously through their small paddocks as the fire burns nearby. Cowie will have to leave them to fend for themselves. #bushfires @_LisaMCox pic.twitter.com/qTrDE33N1S
— Christopher Knaus (@knausc) February 1, 2020
Updated
ROYALLA TO BUNYAN: The Monaro Hwy is closed between Old Cooma Rd and Rose Valley Rd due to a bushfire. Delay your travel.
— Live Traffic NSW (@LiveTrafficNSW) February 1, 2020
Bumbalong Road west of Bredbo NSW @GuardianAus @_LisaMCox #bushfiresAustralia pic.twitter.com/9s4Uikd9Tp
— Mikearoo (@mpbowers) February 1, 2020
It’s a pretty nervous day here in Tharwa. Smoke billowing from the hills has become much thicker, just in the past half hour or so.
— Tom Lowrey (@tomlowrey) February 1, 2020
Plenty of local RFS, ACT Fire and Rescue and Queensland RFS trucks in town. @abccanberra pic.twitter.com/krSYrJR76F
Emergency warning for Creewah Road, Glen Allen
There is another emergency warning from the NSW RFS. This one is at Creewah Road at Glen Allen.
The RFS says the fire is spreading quickly towards the area of Tantawangalo Mountain Road. There is an immediate threat to homes in the area.
If you are in the area of Tantawangalo Mountain Road, you are at risk. Seek shelter as the fire approaches. Protect yourself from the heat of the fire by sheltering in a solid structure.
If you are in the areas of Creewah Road, New Line Road, Narrowness Road and Glen Allen area monitor conditions.
EMERGENCY WARNING - Creewah Rd, Glen Allen (Snowy Monaro)
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) February 1, 2020
Fire is spreading quickly, threatening homes.
If you are near Tantawangalo Mtn Rd, you are at risk. Seek shelter.
If you are near Creewah Rd, New Line Rd, Narrowness Rd & Glen Allen, monitor conditions.#nswrfs #nswfires pic.twitter.com/gLiPNribu0
Updated
Mick and Karen Gallagher are fleeing their property just north of Bredbo. I run into them on a dirt road just off the Monaro Highway.
All around us the sky is orange. A new spot fire has just broken out to the south and is burning through grassland quickly. Smoke haze has rendered the mountains all but invisible.
Mick and Karen had planned to stay and fight as the Clear Range fire approached. But it was too much.
“I reckon our house would be gone,” Mick tells me.
Karen says they got as much out as they could. They packed up their two dogs and possessions and fled.
“It just changed so quickly,” Mick said. Embers were starting to fall.”
The pair have been in this part of the country for 14 years. “We’ve never seen it this bad,” Mick says.
For now, the pair are retreating to the safety of Canberra. The fate of their home will not be known for some time yet.
Mick and Karen Gallagher have just fled their property north of Bredbo. I ran into them just off the Monaro Highway. "We reckon it's gone," Mick tells me. They planned to stay but the Clear Range fire was too much. "We've never seen it this bad." #bushfires @_LisaMCox pic.twitter.com/rluCTcFgyD
— Christopher Knaus (@knausc) February 1, 2020
Updated
A family evacuates along the Bumbalong Road west of Bredbo as a spot fire from the Clear Range Fire takes hold and threatens property @GuardianAus #bushfiresnsw pic.twitter.com/Yyhl7ytCtH
— Mikearoo (@mpbowers) February 1, 2020
The satellite is showing smoke from fires in the #ACT, #NSW and #Gippsland streaming into the Tasman, while a storm and rain band moves through South Australia, #Victoria and into #Tasmania. For the latest weather warnings, forecasts and observations: https://t.co/k4NxvWCfmp pic.twitter.com/zh5NZZ8K1f
— Bureau of Meteorology, New South Wales (@BOM_NSW) February 1, 2020
Cathy Bannister has sent us these photos she took last night from Black Mountain Tower in Canberra. They show the Orroral Valley fire burning near Tharwa.
Updated
Emergency warning for Clear Range fire, Monaro Highway closed
The NSW RFS has issued a warning that the Clear Range fire is now at emergency level.
This is one of the fires that began as spot fires from the Orroral Valley fire in the ACT.
Michelago and Colinton are under ember attack.
People in Michelago who are not prepared are advised to leave now towards Canberra.
If you are in Colinton, the advice is to leave now towards Cooma.
The Monaro Highway is now closed.
EMERGENCY WARNING - Clear Range (Snowy Monaro LGA)
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) February 1, 2020
Michelago & Colinton are experiencing ember attack. If you're in Michelago & unprepared, leave now towards Canberra. If you're in Colinton & unprepared, leave now towards Cooma. The Monaro Hwy is closed. #nswrfs #nswfires #alert pic.twitter.com/e3TVYW6FV2
Updated
I’ve just arrived north of Bredbo, just over the ACT/NSW border. The hills here are blanketed in heavy smoke and an orange glow is coming from the east, where the Clear Range fire is burning.
The fire started as a spot fire from the major Orroral Valley fire in southern ACT. It is now its own fire and is burning out of control.
North-westerly winds are sending it eastward, towards the small town of Bredbo. The fire is still at watch and act level, but conditions are volatile and erratic. Authorities are warning us things could change at any point.
Heavy smoke haze and orange glow blanketing the Monaro Highway near Bredbo in NSW. The area is under threat from the Clear Range fire, fanned by north westerly winds. #bushfires @_LisaMCox pic.twitter.com/3HmcPtKzrp
— Christopher Knaus (@knausc) February 1, 2020
Updated
1150 on the Monaro Highway between #Bredbo and #Michelago @SBSNews pic.twitter.com/XM5AeoT5Hp
— Brett Mason (@BrettMasonNews) February 1, 2020
Severe Fire Danger forecast for the Illawarra/Shoalhaven, Far Sth Coast, Monaro Alpine, Sthn Ranges & Sthn Slopes, in these areas action your #bushfire plan: https://t.co/YdqofXNmjA monitor fire conditions: https://t.co/ebhunu35z9 and monitor the weather https://t.co/JoFOnw3zY9 pic.twitter.com/y1qKLKLvcg
— Bureau of Meteorology, New South Wales (@BOM_NSW) February 1, 2020
Mike Bowers says the Clear Range fire is spotting south and has broken out just west of Bredbo. “It’s a pretty dynamic fire at the moment and very hard to say what will happen, locals are nervous.”
Here is the latest NSW RFS map on the predicted spread of fires in NSW today:
A Fire Spread Prediction map for Saturday 1 February on the NSW RFS website shows the potential spread of current fires. https://t.co/v0YTVviT0d
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) January 31, 2020
Stay up to date via the NSW RFS website and Fires Near Me app.#nswrfs #nswfires pic.twitter.com/V4RZ4KaZbo
We are in for a very hot and very long day today. Temps will reach the mid 40s in many areas and it's likely to stay very warm all weekend. South East NSW remains the focus due to severe fire danger. Stay cool and stay up to date today. #nswrfs #nswfires pic.twitter.com/7HWligWurX
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) January 31, 2020
The ACT ESA commissioner, Georgeina Whelan, says the Orroral fire is “rapidly escalating” as the temperature increases today.
Spot fires continue to burn to the south and south-east and are expected to join up with the main fire later today.
She says containment options are in place between Tharwa village and Mt Tennent.
Rural residents should have their bushfire survival plans ready.
People in Tharwa and the southern suburbs of Banks, Gorton and surrounding areas need to monitor conditions closely and be ready to act should emergency services issue a warning.
No properties are under immediate threat in Canberra’s southern suburbs at this time.
But Whelan says the conditions will potentially become more dangerous and “the fire may pose a threat to lives directly in its path”.
Updated
The ACT chief minister, Andrew Barr, has given a press conference.
He gives another update on the size of the Orroral fire. It’s at 33,500 hectares.
“The north-westerly winds are pushing the fire south-east,” he says.
“It will also continue to burn slowly towards southern Tuggeranong. We’ve been aware of this risk for some time and a huge amount of work has gone into protecting lives and property.”
He stresses people should not travel south towards the fire. This includes driving towards reserves in the area and to remote swimming locations on the Murrumbidgee River. The advice is stay away.
Barr says it was “incredibly disappointing” police had to tell several people to leave the area last night.
Updated
Some more from that interview with Joe Murphy, from the ACT RFS.
He issued another warning to people engaging in “disaster tourism”. Do not do it. There are lots of trucks in the fire area and nearby residents have enough to worry about.
“What they don’t need is roads being clogged by people wanting to take a photo,” he says.
Updated
Firefighters are working to contain a number of spot fires burning north-west of Bredbo. These have started from the Orroral Valley fire in the ACT. Today will be challenging. Under these conditions, fires will spread and spot well ahead of the main firefront. #nswrfs #nswfires pic.twitter.com/aQi1MDcOeV
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) January 31, 2020
Orroral fire now more than 30,000 hectares, conditions due to worsen from midday
Joe Murphy, the chief officer of the ACT RFS, has given an update on the fire conditions to ABC Canberra.
The Orroral fire was at 21,000 hectares yesterday. It has grown substantially to 30,000 hectares.
It is travelling in a south-easterly direction, fanned by north-westerly winds, but has spread to the south, east and west.
“We have said this before the fire will continue to spread in most directions,” Murhpy says.
“The fire is expanding on most fronts.”
Interstate crews, the defence force and ambulance services are ready to assist local crews as conditions intensify this afternoon, with the fire expected to spread across the NSW border.
Murphy says winds are already picking up at Canberra airport and are expected to start affecting the fire ground from about midday. That is forecast to continue through to the evening.
He says this is the time for residents in areas that could be affected by fire today to inform themselves and know what their plan is.
“Leaving early is the safest option,” he says.
“I’m not saying right now Tuggeranong you need to leave. I’m saying you need to listen to the warnings and what’s going on ... so that you can make some decisions for your personal safety.”
Updated
Mike Bowers was also near the Orroral Valley fire last night. Here are his photos from that one, also near Michelago.
Updated
Spotfires northwest of Bredbo will spread towards the Monaro Highway, RFS says.
— Anna Vidot (@AnnaVidot) January 31, 2020
If you're in the area and your plan is to leave, and you're relying on the Monaro to be able to leave, act accordingly.
Keeo an eye on @LiveTrafficNSW for road updates, and keep listening to 666AM. https://t.co/GffQ97qx4K
From AAP:
The ACT chief minister, Andrew Barr, expects the territory’s bushfire state of emergency to remain in place throughout the weekend, faced with soaring temperatures, a forecast for storms and unpredictable wind changes.
The Orroral Valley bushfire in the south of the territory continues to burn, although it was downgraded to “watch and act” overnight, from emergency level.
“Today is the day of greatest concern,” Barr told the Nine Network on Saturday.
“But it is forecast to be still quite hot tomorrow [Sunday] and we are expecting some storms that could lead to quite unpredictable weather [with] wind changes.”
Barr said the state of emergency was expected to remain until at least Monday.
He said the ACT’s rural village of Tharwa, in the extreme south of the territory, remains of particular focus.
He said there has been a “tremendous preparing effort” to protect both heritage and properties in the area. But he warned “the winds are up, so the fire is awake.”
He said the winds are coming from the north-west so the fire is going to track towards NSW.
“This is a really big fire and it is expected to move across the ACT border into New South Wales,” he said.
At the same time, the fire is burning slowly to the north against the wind and approaching Tharwa, with spotting ahead of the fire. More than 10% of the territory has been burnt out by the bushfire.
The weather forecast for the ACT is for 40C-plus heat and gusty winds on Saturday, which the Bureau of Meteorology’s Dean Sgarbossa said along with gusty winds and dry conditions “will drive fire dangers into the severe area”.
However, he told ABC television humidity would increase throughout the day, which would cap fire danger heading into Sunday.
The bushfire conditions forecast for Saturday are being compared to those experienced in 2003, when four people died and hundreds of Canberra homes were razed.
Updated
Watch and Act - Big Jack Mountain (Bega Valley LGA)
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) January 31, 2020
The fire continues to burn west of Mt Darragh. Firefighters are on scene. Activity is expected to increase today under Severe fire conditions. Residents in the Candelo area should monitor conditions.#nswrfs #nswfires pic.twitter.com/udwTEquLvo
Guardian Australia photographer Mike Bowers has been out on the Snowy Mountains/Monaro fire grounds again. Here are some photos he took last night of the sun setting over the Clear Range fire.
And here is some more video, this time out of Victoria, where temperatures soared above 40C yesterday. Extreme temperatures are forecast again today.
Another one from yesterday's fire east of Dartmouth lake. This season is a long way from over, our busiest month is traditionally February.
— David Brown (@DAB475) January 31, 2020
Take care today, stay safe. pic.twitter.com/iLiBLnS23d
This video gives a sense of the fire danger in southern Canberra this week. The time lapse video shows smoke behind houses in the southern district Tuggeranong on Friday.
The village of Tharwa in the ACT’s south is extremely close to the current bushfire. Residents there report there was a “lovely sunrise” this morning. Smoke is visible and the fire is moving to the east, they report.
Updated
The ACT emergency services agency commissioner Georgeina Whelan spoke to the media late last night about the current bushfire risk. AAP reports that she said there were significant dangers from the fire spread on Saturday.
“This does include potentially as far north as Tharwa and spotting close to the southern suburbs of Canberra, including Banks,” she said on Friday night.
Whelan said a “textbook” combination of dangerous fire conditions are forecast.
“It has been unpredictable. It remains challenging. It is difficult to access. This fire could create its own weather system,” she said.
“If all of what I have just outlined occurs, there is a chance this fire could break containment lines.”
The NSW Rural Fire Service says the Orroral Valley fire in the ACT has spotted and created potentially significant problems for the town of Bredbo.
Spot fires have taken hold to the north-west of Bredbo. The fire remains still to the west of the Murrumbidgee River, but with north-westerly winds forecast for today, there is a “significant risk” the fire will push into the area of Bredbo.
ACT Rural Fire Service incident controller Paul Flynn spoke to the ABC a little earlier this morning about the state of the Orroral Valley fire. He said conditions had eased last night and there was currently no immediate threat to property in Canberra suburbs. The area of concern appears to be to the fire’s south-east, across the border into NSW.
Overnight we expected to see, we hoped to see the fire calm down a bit, and for the most part it did calm down. however conditions remain very hot and dry overnight and the south-eastern corner of the fire did take a run in a south-easterly direction.
The south-eastern edge is quite active and does represent a significant risk to crews.
It has expanded considerably. It is about the 30,000 hectare mark now, which is quite a significant spread.
He said there are 16 aircraft currently helping to fight the fire.
There is still a significant risk of spotting and conditions will be “erratic and volatile”, he said. It was more likely than not that the fire would be upgraded back up to emergency level today.
ACT authorities have been forced to issue repeated warnings to residents engaged in “disaster tourism” in recent days. Residents have been driving to the city’s far south, pulling over on the side of the road, and taking pictures of the flames and smoke plume above the mountains.
Emergency services say this is hindering their ability to work in the area and creating unnecessary difficulty and confusion.
Do not drive down to ACT's southern suburbs and stop on the side of the road to take photos of the bushfire. Police have had to actively move on people and cars this evening so they don't hinder operations and clog roads. You are creating unnecessary risk. #StopDisasterTourism
— ACT Policing (@ACTPolicing) January 31, 2020
Temperatures soar across NSW and Victoria
Conditions are also potentially dangerous across other parts of NSW and Victoria today. Let’s take a brief look away from the ACT momentarily.
- In NSW, there were 60 bush and grass fires burning at 7.30am this morning. Twenty-one were yet to be contained and two fires were at watch and act level, including the Canberra fire and the Big Jack Mountain fire east of Bombala
- total fire bans were in place for the Illawarra and Shoalhaven region, the Far South Coast, the Monaro Alpine region, and the Southern and Central Ranges. The NSW Rural Fire Service is warning of widespread very high and severe fire dangers in southern NSW.
- temperatures in western Sydney will soar to 46C in Richmond, and 44C in Blacktown, Camden and Campbelltown.
- In Victoria, temperatures are set to reach 43C in towns like Albury-Wodonga, on the NSW border, and 41C in the state’s north and east in Gippsland.
- There are four watch and act warnings for bushfires in the state, including for the Wulgulmerang, Cape Conran, Marlo/Tabbara, and the Bendoc fires.
Total Fire Bans are in place for Illawarra/Shoalhaven, Far South Coast, Monaro Alpine, Southern and Central Ranges. Widespread Very High and Severe fire dangers for southern NSW today. Hot, dry and wind conditions forecast which will see an increased risk to communities. #nswrfs pic.twitter.com/p8LSDGnax0
— NSW RFS (@NSWRFS) January 31, 2020
Updated
This is the worst-case prediction for the fire spread in the ACT’s south today, and across the border in NSW. Authorities are warning embers could travel far ahead of the fire front and start spot fires.
Severe fire danger is forecast across the ACT and south-eastern NSW for Saturday. Under these conditions fires will spread and may threaten properties. Embers may be blown ahead of fires and could start spot fires. Map of the fire spread is here: https://t.co/1OJwQUSv2B pic.twitter.com/RwMHERumZX
— ACT ESA (@ACT_ESA) January 31, 2020
Canberra bushfires: the current state of play
Let’s take a look at what we currently know about the Canberra bushfires.
- Saturday is shaping up to be the worst conditions we’ve seen in Canberra during this dangerous 72-hour period, and since the 2003 tragedy, when hundreds of homes were destroyed and four people were killed. A combination of extreme heat, wind and a dry landscape will put the city’s southernmost suburbs like Banks, Gordon, and Conder at risk, particularly of ember attack. There is also a significant risk to towns across the NSW border to the east.
- The forecast today is for temperatures of 42C and northwesterly winds of between 20-30km/h. Those winds will ease off later in the evening.
- The Orroral Valley Fire is currently at a watch and act level, after being downgraded from emergency level last night. The fire is 28,658 hectares in size. It is still out-of-control and is burning to the east and south, across the NSW border, where it has become known as the Clear Range fire. Towns like Michelago across the border are now at risk of ember attack. Authorities are warning the bushfire conditions will become erratic and unpredictable, with spotting well ahead of the main fire front to the south, east, and west of the fire.
- Rural residents in the ACT in the area of Apollo Road, Boboyan Road, north of the Glendale depot, Top Naas Road, south of the Boboyan Road intersection, and Corin Road are at particular risk from the bushfire and should monitor conditions closely.
- A prediction map released by the ACT Emergency Services Agency shows a worst-case scenario of what we could see today. It shows the fire potentially increasing five times in size and spreading through towns like Michelago.
- The village of Tharwa in the ACT’s far south is also preparing for a dangerous day. The ESA is warning people there to be vigilant as conditions worsen.
Good morning everyone, and welcome to our live coverage of what is expected to be an extremely dangerous day of bushfires in Canberra and parts of NSW.
We will see scorching temperatures and stronger winds in Canberra and large parts of NSW and Victoria. The Orroral Valley fire continues to burn out-of-control in the ACT and across the border into NSW, where it is threatening small rural towns like Michelago.
Stay with us. We’ll continue our coverage as conditions deteriorate today.
Updated