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Barchart
Barchart
Jim Wyckoff

As Trump Spars with the Federal Reserve, Here’s 1 Commodity Trade to Make Now

December Canada dollar (D6Z25) futures present a selling opportunity on more price weakness.

See on the daily bar chart for the December Canadian dollar futures that prices are trending lower and the bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. The path of least resistance for prices is presently sideways to lower.

 

Fundamentally, the Canadian dollar futures market has been pressured in part by keener risk aversion in the marketplace amid President Donald Trump’s criticism of the Federal Reserve and attempts to fire one of its governors this week. Traders think this is a potential erosion of the independence of the Federal Reserve. Traders are also cautious as the U.S. has just slapped more trade sanctions on India.

A move in the December Canada dollar futures below chart support at the August low of .7220 would give the bears more power and it would also become a selling opportunity. The downside price objective would be .7050, or below. Technical resistance, for which to place a protective buy stop just above, is located at .7300.

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IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any trades and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%): 

Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you. 

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