This was the way the wind was blowing: the Times-Picayune’s Luke Johnson reports that the New Orleans Saints are likely restructuring their contract with Derek Carr this offseason, which will bring the team much-needed salary cap relief while tying themselves closer to the quarterback. His contract would effectively become guaranteed through 2025.
Carr currently has a salary cap hit at $35.7 million, highest on the team. A standard restructure would reduce his already-guaranteed base salary from $30 million to the veteran’s minimum and pay the difference out as a signing bonus, which is prorated over the next five years. That lowers his cap hit down to about $12.6 million in 2024, saving the Saints more than $23 million this year. This was the plan all along — committing to Carr with heavy guarantees through his first two years. That’s how they got him to sign here instead of with, say, the New York Jets or Carolina Panthers.
Now, New Orleans would still be in the red by more than $60 million after restructuring Carr. The Saints would still by higher over the cap by a higher figure than any other team; the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins both need to clear about $51 million to reach cap compliance. There’s a lot of work still to be done. This is just the first big step.
The downside to doing this? Carr’s cap charges in 2025 ($45.7 million) and 2026 ($55.7 million) go even higher, increasing by about $5.7 million in each season. Because this money was already guaranteed, just paid out differently for accounting purposes, it’s more difficult to get out of Carr’s contract later on. If he fails to improve with a new offensive coordinator in the fall then general manager Mickey Loomis will be left with an albatross around his neck. Releasing Carr before his contract expires would accelerate all of those $5.7 million signing bonus payouts into the current year rather than scratching them out over time.
It’s more complicated if you look further out. If Carr is on the roster by March 17, 2025 then his $30 million salary for that season will become fully-guaranteed, too. Let’s say the Saints do restructure Carr this offseason, which is what’s expected. That puts his 2025 cap hit at more than $51.4 million. They’ll have to make a decision next year on whether to cut him (to negligible salary cap benefit) or restructure him again. Knowing Loomis, the latter route is more likely.
Carr was always going to be in New Orleans for at least 2023 and 2024. Restructuring his contract now makes it highly likely he’ll be the quarterback again in 2025. His current deal runs out in 2027. Who knows what the team looks like at that point? Loomis and Dennis Allen could both be gone. But Carr, and all the money they chose to invest in him, will remain. Let’s hope he can carry his strong finish to the 2023 season — Carr led the league in touchdown passes through the final five weeks — over into the years ahead with a new offensive coordinator calling plays, making this big contract a little more palatable.
