Are you thinking what Martin Kettle's thinking about the election? The Guardian's usually cheery political commentator has got The Fear about the upcoming contest, and now believes that the Tories are in with a chance.
"If Labour's vote drops by even a 10th this time," he writes, "with leftwingers abstaining and tactical voters returning to the other parties, mainly the Liberal Democrats, then it's game on for the Tories."
The Populus poll in today's Times appears to offer support for Martin's argument, with Labour's lead narrowing to seven points. It's support now stands at 39%, two points less than last month, while the Tories are on 32% and the Liberal Democrats on 20%.
Seven points is still a commanding lead, however, while the poll's findings on attitudes to public services suggests that the Tories' strategy of using individual case studies like Margaret Dixon to attack the government's record of investment is not working.
The proportion of people saying their personal experience of using the NHS is good is up by seven points to 73%, while their view of the national service is up eight points to 64%. The gap between the two is also narrowing.
So has Labour got the election in the bag? The polls say yes but a lot of people's guts say no. What's certain is that Lynton Crosby has managed to get the Tories singing from the same hymn sheet, but is that enough to win the election? What do you think?
