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Barchart
Barchart
Aditya Sarawgi

Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting HP Stock Will Climb or Sink?

Palo Alto, California-based HP Inc. (HPQ) is a leading provider of PCs and other hardware devices, including printers, hard disks, and more. Valued at $24.5 billion by market cap, HP’s operations span the Americas, Indo-Pacific, and EMEA.

The PC designer has significantly underperformed the broader market over the past year. HP stock has plunged 8.1% over the past 52 weeks and 20.6% on a YTD basis, compared to the S&P 500 Index’s ($SPX10.2% gains over the past year and 3.9% dip in 2025.

 

Narrowing the focus, HP has also lagged behind the sector-specific Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund’s (XLK6.4% gains over the past year and 7.3% decline on a YTD basis.

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HP stock prices dropped 6.8% in the trading session after the release of its Q1 results on Feb. 27. The company reported a modest growth in products as well as services revenue, leading to a notable 2.4% year-over-year growth in overall topline to $13.5 billion. Meanwhile, its operating cash flows increased to $374 million, up from $121 million reported in the year-ago quarter. However, its COGS and SG&A expenses increased at an even faster rate, leading to a 9.6% year-over-year decline in operating income to $845 million, missing the Street’s earnings estimates.

On a more positive note, HP expects to observe a notable improvement in its cash flows. The company expects its fiscal 2025 free cash flow to range between $3.2 billion – $3.6 billion, representing a notable 6.3% year-over-year growth at mid-point compared to fiscal 2024.

For fiscal 2025, ending in October, analysts expect HP to deliver a marginal growth in earnings to $3.39 per share. While the company has surpassed the Street’s earnings estimates once over the past four quarters, it has missed the projections on three other occasions.

The stock holds a “Moderate Buy” rating overall. Of the 14 analysts covering the stock, opinions include four “Strong Buys,” nine “Holds,” and one “Strong Sell.”

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This configuration has remained stable in recent months.

On Apr. 28, Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani maintained an “Outperform” rating on HP, but lowered the price target from $40 to $32.

HP’s mean price target of $33 indicates a 27.4% premium to current price levels, while its Street-high target of $44 suggests a staggering 69.9% upside potential.

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