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USA Today Sports Media Group
USA Today Sports Media Group
Sport
Jordy McElroy

All 32 NFL teams (including Patriots) ranked by playoff probability with 5 weeks left

There was a time when the New England Patriots were perennial playoff contenders.

Those were the days when the bar was set to Super Bowl-or-bust heights. Who cares if the Patriots made it to the dance? It was all about being the last team standing with the Lombardi Trophy in the end.

Of course, things are quite different these days with the team sitting at 3-10 with long-shot odds of making it to the playoffs. You’d have to twist your brain into pretzels thinking up a path, but one does still exist for the Patriots.

However, the likelihood of them getting there is about as probable as Tom Brady coming out of retirement and playing for the team in 2024.

Here’s all 32 NFL teams ranked by playoff probability, via ESPN’s NFL Football Power Index 2023:

32
Carolina Panthers: Eliminated from playoffs

Mike Carlson/Getty Images

31
Washington Commanders: 0.0%

Rob Carr/Getty Images

30
Arizona Cardinals: 0.0%

Christian Petersen/Getty Images

29
New England Patriots: 0.0.%

Philip G. Pavely-USA TODAY Sports

28
Tennessee Titans: 0.0%

Courtney Culbreath/Getty Images

27
New York Jets: 0.1%

Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

26
New York Giants: 0.1%

Al Bello/Getty Images

25
Las Vegas Raiders: 0.9%

Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

24
Chicago Bears: 0.9%

Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

23
Denver Broncos: 14.5%

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

22
Cincinnati Bengals: 14.7%

Andy Lyons/Getty Images

21
Los Angeles Chargers: 17.8%

Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

20
Buffalo Bills: 24.7%

Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 25.9%

Julio Aguilar/Getty Images

18
New Orleans Saints: 27.6%

Chris Graythen/Getty Images

17
Seattle Seahawks: 27.7%

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

16
Pittsburgh Steelers: 33.3%

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

15
Los Angeles Rams: 43.3%

Harry How/Getty Images

14
Minnesota Vikings: 49.1%

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

13
Atlanta Falcons: 60.1%

Sarah Stier/Getty Images

12
Indianapolis Colts: 61.0%

Andy Lyons/Getty Images

11
Green Bay Packers: 66.9%

Patrick McDermott/Getty Images

10
Cleveland Browns: 69.0%

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

9
Houston Texans: 71.5%

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

8
Jacksonville Jaguars: 95.0%

Logan Riely/Getty Images

7
Detroit Lions: 98.4%

Chris Graythen/Getty Images

6
Kansas City Chiefs: 98.6%

Patrick McDermott/Getty Images

5
Baltimore Ravens: 99.3%

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

4
Miami Dolphins: 99.6%

Rob Carr/Getty Images

3
Dallas Cowboys: 99.9%

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

2
San Francisco 49ers: 100%

Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images
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