The best part about the Super Bowl are the prop bets. Fine, the game is the best part, but the prop bets are fun too. There are just so many to choose from. This is the beginning of multiple articles focused on gambling on the Super Bowl. Today it’s game prop bets, and we’ll have San Fransico team and player prop bets, Kansas City team, and player prop bets, and finally pick the game. Let’s get to the game prop bets first.
Coin Toss
Heads -115, Tails -115
It’s a real shame that the heads or tails prop bet isn’t the typical -110 bet. It’s kind of unfair. This bet gets the juices flowing because it’s really the first bet of the day — unless we bet the over for the National Anthem and always bet the over.
It’s a dumb bet, but a bet that must be made. Ease in with a little tails, and then start praying the rest of the game prop bets hit.
Most Penalty Yards
Niners EV, Chiefs -130
Kansas City had 120 penalties called on them this season while San Franciso has 112 penalties — and this includes the playoffs. The trick is that we are betting yards and Kansas City was the third-worst in the league in yards against. Sounds like a lot of personal fouls and pass interference.
The problem for the Chiefs is that they’ve had a bunch of penalties in the playoffs. They kept on going offsides in the AFC Championship and they should never go offsides after last season. Look, Andy Reid is a great coach but his teams have never been described as super disciplined. Take the Niners here.
Will both teams make a field goal longer than 33 yards
Yes -120, No -110
Both teams have very good kickers and a 33-yard field goal simply means that they decide to kick from the past the 26-yard line. Harrison Butker and Robbie Gould can do that.
Here’s why the bet might not happen. The Chiefs don’t need to kick field goals. They have an explosive offense and they usually score touchdowns more than they score field goals. The Niners know they have to keep up in the game so going for three in a fourth and short situation isn’t going to happen. Still, let’s take the yes.
First touchdown will be a:
Pass -150, Run/Other +120
This is where the coin toss really makes a difference. If the Chiefs get the ball first, it’s going to be a pass. If the Niners get the ball first, it’s probably going to be a run.
Let’s gamble. The Chiefs will have to mix up their offense and Kansas City could attack the edges of the Niners defense on the ground. Damien Williams has the speed. The Niners are more likely to run the football in anyway. There are positive odds. Let’s take the running TD — or any other TD really. The only thing that scares me is the shuffle pass.
Will there be a two-point conversion attempt?
Yes +210, No -270
Now this one gets interesting. Either one team will have to fall behind by so much that a two-point conversion makes sense or the Niners will have to think that going for two makes sense because the Chiefs are going to score a ton of points.
Here’s why it won’t happen. The game will be close. It’s a one-point spread. That means it’s unlikely to be a blowout. Teams won’t be down 24 points with 18 minutes to go. Going for two early in the game would be very aggressive. Neither coach will want to miss and get the wrath of the media and fans. So we will go with no two-point attempt.
Will the game be tied after 0-0?
Yes -125, No -105
This bet is tough to hit if it isn’t hit immediately. That means 3-3 or 7-7. After that the chances of ties are much much more difficult. Start the game off with 7-3 and the chances of a tie go down dramatically.
But remember that whole close game thing we talked about beforehand? Yea, we will take the yes.
First turnover is:
Interception -175, Fumble +125
Jimmy Garoppolo is good for one pass that could be intercepted every game. The Chiefs throw the ball around the yard like it’s going out style. The only fumble I can picture is a strip-sack and even then there could be some fumble luck. Take the interception.
Jersey Number of the first TD
Over 26.5 -120, Under 26.5-110
This is going to sound crazy, but the under is the best bet. The Niners players under 26.5 that could score a touchdown include Tevin Coleman, Deebo Samuel, Emmanuel Sanders, and Jimmy Garoppolo. The Chiefs include their entire receiving corps outside of Travis Kelce, Patrick Mahomes, Damien Williams, and LeSean McCoy. You’re basically picking George Kittle, Raheem Mostert or Kelce if you’re taking the over. It’s math or something like that to take the under.
Gatorade Color
Red +150
Orange +300
Clear/Water +450
Yellow/Green +450
Blue +750
Purple +1200
None +1500
This is the easiest bet in the world. If Gatorade doesn’t force the winning team — since both teams wear red — to have a red Gatorade bath, then the marketing industrial complex has failed.
