What 5 NFL games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 14? Here you go. Enjoy.
Week 14 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews
– Week 14 NFL Predictions, Schedule, Times, Lines, Previews
– CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
– CFN Expert Picks: NFL
Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.
5. Tennessee at Jacksonville
LINE: Tennessee -7.5
ATS PICK: Tennessee
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
Pick against Jacksonville at your own risk.
The Jaguars haven’t been all that bad with Mike Glennon at the helm, the running game has worked, and the defense has been just good enough to hold on. With Glennon in, the Jags lost to Cleveland by two and in overtime to Minnesota by a field goal.
Now they’re at home against a Tennessee team that just got ripped apart by Cleveland.
Call that a foreseeable clunker.
The Titans have been going full bore for weeks with two games against Indianapolis and an overtime battle at Baltimore and Cleveland came out smoking in a 41-35 win.
The Titans only beat Jacksonville by three at home in Week 2, so why like them by 7.5?
The Jaguar run defense has been awful. It was bad then, it’s struggling even more now, and Tennessee is coming off a shockingly bad game on the ground with just 62 yards. The three turnovers had something to do with it.
It’s all a long-winded way of saying that last week won’t happen twice in a row.
NEXT: Green Bay at Detroit
4. Green Bay at Detroit
LINE: Green Bay -7.5
ATS PICK: Green Bay
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
Detroit usually needs a collapse to win.
Atlanta gagged away the Week 7 game in the final moments, Chicago totally melted down in last week 34-30 Lion win, and Arizona lost in Week 3 after turning it over three times.
This is a much stronger and it’s going to be a much looser Lion team under Darrell Bevell the rest of the way, but it’s not going to get a clunker out of Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay for one simple reason …
It almost happened last week.
The Packers were never in that much danger against Philadelphia, but things got a little loose late. They got up 23-3 in the fourth and were cruising right along, but a Jalen Reagor punt return made it a seven point game with just under seven minutes to play.
Aaron Jones ended any drama with a long touchdown run, but still, that was one of those win-but-not-happy games. A win all but seals the North for Green Bay, and there won’t be any letting up this time around.
The Lions give up way, way, way too many big plays through the air, and few push it down the field better than Rodgers and a receiving corps that’s fully cranked up with Davante Adams leading the way.
It would be nice to get this at 7, but the hook isn’t going to be a killer.
– Week 14 CFN Expert Picks: NFL
NEXT: New York Jets at Seattle
3. New York Jets at Seattle
LINE: Seattle -14.5
ATS PICK: Seattle
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
Nah, don’t be fooled.
The Jets might have given the Raiders all they could handle and invented a fun and exciting way to lose, but that’s not the norm.
The close games against New England and Chargers were a bit of an aberration, too – the Patriots don’t have a passing game and Los Angeles does everything possible to give games away.
It’s really all about the takeaways here. If Seattle is on its game, it doesn’t screw up, and it wins. The Jets can force turnovers, but coming off the weird loss to the Giants with two giveaways, don’t expect the Seahawks to press.
The New York Giant D is playing well. The Jet D isn’t.
Forget the Henry Ruggs play for a moment, New York give up a whole lot of big plays on a regular basis. That might change a wee bit with a change in overall defensive philosophy, but that’s not going to matter.
Seattle is going to come out roaring – it’s not playing that poorly for a second game in a row.
Chalk it up to a short week, or give the Giants credit for a good gameplan. Whatever – the Jets will get some points against this porous Seattle D, but the Seahawks are about to explode with a 300-yard day from Russell Wilson and a massive performance by DK Metcalf.
NEXT: Atlanta at Los Angeles Chargers
2. New England at Los Angeles Chargers
LINE: Los Angeles -1
ATS PICK: Atlanta
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
What have ween been saying over the last few weeks when it comes to the Chargers?
Sometimes, teams just don’t now how to win, and it defies all X and O logic.
It’s why we went with Miami a few weeks ago – and got it – and it’s why we were all in on New England last week before it won 45-0.
The Chargers know how to lose close games in strange and creative ways, and then came last week when it all melted down. Give credit to Bill Belichick for being amazing against rookie quarterbacks, but it was the first time that Justin Herbert looked off.
The Chargers played like a team that’s been through an emotion tussle all season long, because they have been with all the tough defeats.
Atlanta knows just a wee bit about gagging away games – forgetting that Super Bowl, the Dallas and Detroit games this year were brutal.
There’s a lot not to like about this. Atlanta doesn’t have a ground game, the Charger offense has been great through the air, this is a banged up Falcon team, the defense didn’t generate any takeaways against the Patriots that that’s about to change …
Los Angeles will play better. They’re at home for the third time in four games, but the Falcons aren’t playing the Saints – that was the opponent in two of the last three games.
There but for the meltdown against the Lions, Atlanta would be on a nice little non-Saint run. The secondary will get hit hard, but the run D will be strong, and until proven otherwise …
Assume the Chargers will lose another close game.
In the Stick With What Works category …
NEXT: New Orleans at Philadelphia
1. New Orleans at Philadelphia
LINE: New Orleans -7.5
ATS PICK: New Orleans
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
It’s as if the world keeps challenging America to not pick New Orleans.
The emergence of Taysom Hill was supposed to be a problem a few weeks ago against Atlanta. Nope.
The team was going to lock up in other areas as Hill got his feet wet. it did, the D was great, Hill was fine, and it was an easy ATS win.
Denver had to play the nasty Saint defense without a quarterback. That didn’t exactly go well in one of the all-time easiest against the spread calls.
The same thing held true in last week’s win over Atlanta in Round 2 – the defense was outstanding and Hill and the rushing attack got the job done.
And now the NFL’s No. 2 overall defense and No. 1 D at stopping rushing touchdowns – allowing a minuscule five on the year – gets a Philadelphia team starting Jalen Hurts.
Hurts is the ultimate leader and fighter, and he’ll do whatever he must to spark the woeful Eagle offense, but this defense isn’t the one to go against in your starting debut.
Philly has offensive talent and weapons, but this whole thing has been a mess – it wasn’t all Carson Wentz’s fault. This run defense has been awful and there aren’t any big shots connecting down the field. Neither of those two things are going to change this week.
New Orleans might be looking a wee bit ahead to the showdown against Kansas City next week, but for a team that has won four of its last five games by 14 points or more, handing out a Welcome To The NFL, Rookie performance from the D won’t be a problem
