The 49ers’ already long-shot odds to return to the postseason for a second consecutive year took a significant hit with their 27-13 Week 10 loss to the Saints according to Football Outsiders.
Their chances to make the postseason dropped below 5.0 percent after Week 10 to just 4.3 percent. That was a 7.0 percent dip from the previous week.
Football Outsiders also lists a club’s chances to land any of the first through seventh seeds. San Francisco has a 0.0 percent chance of nabbing either of the top two seeds or the fourth seed. That No. 4 spot belongs to whatever team stumbles out of the NFC East.
Their chances for the No. 3 seed are only a tick higher at 0.5 percent. That’s the same number of their chances to earn a division championship. They’re 4-6 and the rest of the NFC West is 6-3. Somehow 0.5 percent seems high.
San Francisco’s best odds fall at the No. 7 seed where they have a 2.7 percent chance of landing. With a 4-6 record through 10 games, the 49ers have to go at least 5-1 down the stretch if they want to overcome the long odds.
Getting a road victory against the second-place Rams in Week 12 would go a long way toward helping the 49ers’ chances, but they have a steep hill to climb no matter how they slice their final six games.
