36-33-22. Not exactly model statistics as far as Labour is concerned. And today's Telegraph/YouGov poll (registration required) identifies three big swings away from Labour. One is among manual workers, 52% of whom voted for Tony Blair in 2001. Now it's just 39%, and the Lib Dems are the main beneficiaries. Labour support has mostly held up in the south west and East Anglia, but the Welsh and Londoners are turning against the government. (Why Wales? Intriguing.)
If you've been wondering why the recent polls don't agree, Philip Cowley explains in today's Guardian: he says comparing surveys from different pollsters is "a futile exercise in comparing the uncomparable".
