Everyone has been fighting very shy of making projections of the result, but Peter Snow bravely stepped up and said that the projection on the real results showed a Labour majority of 68.
This seems really odd, given quite what large swings have taken place in some of the Con-Lab marginal seats. I'd be more inclined to say Labour by 30, possibly even less, and a Labour majority of 46 would be a relief for the party.
Perhaps the reason is the abject failure so far of any kind of regional swing to the Conservatives in their designated battleground of the West Midlands. There was a low swing in Dudley North, a low swing in Birmingham Edgbaston, and even a low swing in Birmingham Northfield, the ground zero of the Longbridge collapse.
There seems to be a high swing in London, as predicted, but the Conservatives just missed a much-predicted gain in trendy Hove, despite a slippage of Labour votes to the Lib Dems. Further regional variations could well complicate the picture even more.
The swing to the Lib Dems in some of their battles with Labour is truly enormous - especially Dunbartonshire East, and the landmark gain of Hornsey and Wood Green, where Lynne Featherstone's enormous investment of time and money has been rewarded.
