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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
Sport
Becky Ashton

2025 Tour de France predictions & betting tips: Can anyone deny Pogacar?

Tour de France betting tips

  • Tadej Pogacar to win General Classification - 4/11 Bet365
  • Florian Lipowitz to win Best Young Rider - 9/4 William Hill

The 112th Tour de France gets underway this weekend, with the entire 21-stage race taking place in France and finishing in Paris on 27 July.

All eyes will be on Tadej Pogacar, who is looking to win the gruelling race for a fourth time and the second year in a row.

The 26-year-old finished more than six minutes clear of second-placed Jonas Vingegaard 12 months ago as he dominated the race from start to finish, becoming the first rider to win six stages in a single race since Mark Cavendish in 2009.

He goes into the race in outstanding form, having already recorded 11 wins this year, so it’s no surprise that betting sites make him the short-priced favourite, ahead of Jonas Vingegaard, Remco Evenepoel and Joao Almeida.

The E Team Emirates-XRG rider certainly has what it takes to win, but so does Vingegaard, who won in 2022 and 2023 and was the runner-up last time around.

He was second to Pogacar at the recent eight-stage Criterium du Dauphine, finishing 59 seconds behind the Slovenian.

The race is a real battle of fitness, endurance, mindset and strategy as the riders cover approximately 3,500km in total, travelling from Lille down to Montpellier and back to Paris, and it is hard to see anyone beating Pogacar - but it takes a whole team to win a Tour.

Tour de France prediction 1: Tadej Pogacar to win General Classification - 4/11 Bet365

Lipowitz can look good in white

Remco Evenepoel is the favourite on most betting apps to retain the white jersey he won 12 months ago, but he has struggled to find his best form in 2025, which opens the door for 24-year-old Florian Lipowitz.

The German rider will need the support of his Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe team, but if he can stay in there, we’re backing him to take advantage of other riders’ misfortunes to lead the next generation.

Tour de France prediction 2: Florian Lipowitz to win Best Young Rider - 9/4 William Hill

Please gamble responsibly

When using gambling sites, be aware that sports betting can be addictive. Please take steps to remain in control of your time and budget. The same applies whether you’re using new betting sites, slot sites, casino sites, casino apps, or any other gambling medium.

Even the most knowledgeable punter can lose a bet, so always stick to a budget and never chase your losses.

It’s particularly important not to get carried away by any free bet offers or casino offers you might receive, both of which are available in abundance on gambling sites, but must be approached with caution.

You can stay in control by making use of the responsible gambling tools offered, such as deposit limits, loss limits, self-exclusion and time-outs.

You may also want to visit the following free organisations to discuss any issues with gambling you might be having:

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