Washington Commanders general manager Martin Mayhew met with the media last week for his pre-draft press conference and discussed trading up and trading back in the NFL draft.
In the 2022 NFL draft, Washington held the No. 11 pick before dropping down five spots in a trade with the New Orleans Saints. The trade netted Washington additional selections in the third and fourth rounds. The Commanders made another trade and the three picks added from this trade sent Brian Robinson Jr., Sam Howell and Cole Turner to Washington.
Mayhew used last season’s trade as an example of why he preferred trading back and cited other examples from his time as a general manager.
“When you’re trading back, you’re acquiring more picks, and it’s been my experience to just having more volume and having more picks gives you more opportunities to hit, especially if you’re scouting well in those mid-to-late rounds,” Mayhew said.
Washington first goes on the clock at No. 16 overall in the 2023 NFL draft, which begins Thursday. The Commanders would again like to trade back and hold eight picks in this year’s draft.
What are those picks worth?
Using the Rich Hill model, a modified version of the old Jimmy Johnson trade chart, we analyze what each of Washington’s eight picks are worth in 2023.
- Round 1 (No. 16): 305
- Round 2 (No. 47): 124
- Round 3 (No. 97): 39
- Round 4 (No. 118): 25
- Round 5 (No. 150): 12
- Round 6 (No. 193): 5
- Round 6 (No. 215): 3
- Round 7 (No. 233): 2
Overall, Washington’s eight picks have an overall value of 515 points.
Below is a chart detailing the value of every NFL team’s 2023 draft picks using the Rich Hill model.
