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Sport
Riley Hamel

2022 Cadence Bank Houston Open odds, field notes, best bets and picks to win

After a week south of the border, the PGA Tour returns to the states for the Cadence Bank Houston Open in Houston, Texas.

Three of the world’s top 15 players, including No. 2 Scottie Scheffler, are set to tee off Thursday at Memorial Park Golf Course. Scheffler, who finished in a tie for third at Mayakoba last Sunday, is the betting favorite at +550. His good buddy Sam Burns is next in line at +1200 before Tony Finau and Aaron Wise come in at +1500.

Last season, LIV Golf’s Jason Kokrak won by two shots over Kevin Tway and Scheffler.

With a win this week, Scheffler would return to No. 1 in the Official World Golf Ranking.

Houston Open: PGA Tour Live streaming on ESPN+

Golf course

Memorial Park Golf Course | Par 70 | 7,412 yards

Danny Lee, Russell Henley and Cameron Davis walk up the first fairway during the first round of the Vivint Houston Open at Memorial Park Golf Course on November 05, 2020 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)

Data Golf Information

Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. Southern Hills Country Club, 2. Silverado Resort and Spa, 3. TPC Scottsdale

Trending (the players’ last three starts): 1. Taylor Montgomery (T-15, T-13, T-10), 2. Aaron Wise (T-64, 6, T-15), 3. Maverick McNealy (T-12, T-18, T-10)

Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Scottie Scheffler (13.3 percent), 2. Tony Finau (6 percent), 3. Aaron Wise (4.4 percent)

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Betting preview

Last week (World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba)

Joel Dahmen of the United States during the third round of the World Wide Technology Championship at Club de Golf El Camaleon on November 05, 2022, in Playa del Carmen. (Photo by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images)

I didn’t have Russell Henley on the card last week, but five of my six plays finished T-21 or better (three inside the top 10).

Down five units for the week (.5 unit plays on Joel Dahmen and Aaron Wise), but still up 30.5 units on the season.

If you’re interested in my full card every week, it’s posted on my Twitter sometime Wednesday afternoon. Follow me here.

Odds

Player Odds Player Odds
Scottie Scheffler (+550) Matthew NeSmith (+4000)
Sam Burns (+1200) Joel Dahmen (+4000)
Tony Finau (+1500) Taylor Pendrith (+4000)
Aaron Wise (+1500) Davis Riley (+4000)
Jason Day (+2000) Sahith Theegala (+4000)
Hideki Matsuyama (+2000) Alex Noren (+5000)
Russell Henley (+2000) Emiliano Grillo (+5000)
Maverick McNealy (+2000) Andrew Putnam (+5000)
Taylor Montgomery (+2000) Keith Mitchell (+5000)
Denny McCarthy (+3000) Will Gordon (+5000)

 

Joel Dahmen

Joel Dahmen hits a shot from the ninth fairway during the third round of the U.S. Open golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

Fair warning — this week’s card is going to look strikingly similar to last week’s.

So, let’s start with our highest finisher from Mayakoba.

Joel Dahmen is off to a great start this season with three top 20s in his last four starts (T-3 in Mexico). At last year’s Houston Open, Dahmen tied for fifth.

Bets to consider: Outright (+4000), Top 20 (+175)

Maverick McNealy

Maverick McNealy waits on the first green during the first round of THE CJ CUP in South Carolina golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: David Yeazell-USA TODAY Sports

Again, a familiar name.

McNealy has finished inside the top 20 in his last four starts, two of which were top 10s (T-10 at Mayakoba). In two trips to Memorial Park, Mav has finished T-19 and T-20.

At a track with five par 5s around 500 yards, his length off the tee should come in handy.

Bets to consider: Outright (+2000), Top 20 (+135)

Sam Burns

Sam Burns watches his drive on the first tee during the first round of the 2022 Sanderson Farms Championship at the Country Club of Jackson in Jackson, Mississippi. (Photo: Rogelio V. Solis/Associated Press)

Sam Burns is always good a good bet to contend this time of year. In the fall of 2021, Burns had four top 20s in four starts including a win and two T-7s or better.

This season, Burns finished T-30 at the Sanderson Farms and T-7 a few weeks ago at the CJ Cup. The last two years at Memorial Park, Burns has collected two T-7 finishes.

Bets to consider: Outright (+1200), Top 10 (+155)

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