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Riley Hamel

2022 BMW Championship odds, field, best bets and picks to win

Only the top 70 remain.

This week in Wilmington, Delaware, is the second of three FedEx Cup Playoff events, the BMW Championship. The host venue, Wilmington Country Club, is a big boy. Measuring in at 7,534 yards, the par-71 track will demand distance off the tee as three par-4s on the front are over 490 yards on the scorecard, while the two par-5s on the back are 600-plus yards.

In other words, we’re not sure a mid-handicap golfer would survive an 18-hole trek around this place.

Last week’s winner Will Zalatoris now sits No. 1 in the FedEx Cup standings followed by world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler. Cam Smith, the No. 2 player in the world and No. 3 in the FEC, will not tee it up due to a lingering hip injury as reports swirl about his future with the Tour and LIV Golf.

Golf course

Wilmington Country Club | Par 71 | 7,534 yards

Wilmington Country Club’s uphill, well-protected approach on the 18th hole is readied for the PGA’s BMW Championship Friday, August 12, 2022.

Key stats

  • Driving distance
  • Strokes Gained: Approach

Data Golf Information

Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. Caves Valley Golf Club, 2. Olympia Fields Country Club, 3. Winged Foot

Trending: 1. Tony Finau (last three starts: 1, 1, T-5), 2. Rory McIlroy (T-19, 3, MC), 3. Matt Fitzpatrick (T-6, T-12, T-5)

Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Rory McIlroy (9 percent), 2. Scottie Scheffler (7 percent), 3. Jon Rahm (5.8 percent)

Latest Twilight 9 episode

BMW preview | FedEx St. Jude recap:
Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts

Betting preview

Odds

Player Odds Player Odds
Rory McIlroy (+1000) Xander Schauffele (+2000)
Jon Rahm (+1300) Collin Morikawa (+2000)
Tony Finau (+1500) Viktor Hovland (+3000)
Justin Thomas (+1500) Tom Kim (+3000)
Patrick Cantlay (+1500) Cameron Young (+3000)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+1500) Shane Lowry (+4000)
Scottie Scheffler (+1500) Jordan Spieth (+4000)
Will Zalatoris (+1500) Joaquin Niemann (+4000)
Sungjae Im (+2000) Hideki Matsuyama (+5000)
Sam Burns (+2000) Tyrrell Hatton (+5000)

 

Cameron Young

Cameron Young tees off for the 10th during Round 4 of the Rocket Mortgage Classic at the Detroit Golf Club in Detroit on Sunday, July 31, 2022.

Will Zalatoris finally pulled through for me. I’ve bet on him nearly every week for as long as I can remember. So, let’s do it again. Cameron Young has been one of my go-to guys for most of the season and I’m going right back to him.

This golf course is going to be a driving competition and not many players on the planet drive it better than Young (second in SG: OTT and fourth in driving distance).

Key stats rankings this season

  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 78th
  • Driving distance: Fourth

Bets to consider:  Outright (+3000), Top 10 (+230)

Rory McIlroy

Rory McIlroy of Northern Ireland plays his shot from the 17th tee during the second round of the FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind on August 12, 2022, in Memphis, Tennessee. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

I don’t wanna hear it. Yes, I put these two guys on my card every week. Sue me. I don’t care. From what I’ve heard early in the week, Wilmington Country Club is soft and playing long. A recipe for success for the Northern Irishman.

McIlroy’s last three finishes following a missed cut: Second, win, T-6. At Caves Valley last season, McIlroy finished solo fourth.

Key stats rankings this season

  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 14th
  • Driving distance: Second

Bets to consider:  Outright (+1000), Top 5 (+250)

Viktor Hovland

Viktor Hovland tees off on the third hole during the final round of the 150th Open Championship golf tournament at St. Andrews Old Course. (Photo: Michael Madrid-USA TODAY Sports)

Viktor Hovland showed signs of life last week in Memphis with a T-20. It’s time for the young man to return to the winner’s circle.

He’s one of the best drivers of the golf ball in the world and should show that around WCC. He gained strokes with his iron play last week so here’s hoping that carries over.

Key stats rankings this season

  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 18th
  • Driving distance: 38th

Bets to consider:  Outright (+3000), Top 20 (-110)

Justin Thomas

Justin Thomas watches his fairway shot during the third round of the FedEx St. Jude Championship golf tournament at TPC Southwind. Mandatory Credit: David Yeazell-USA TODAY Sports

I know Justin Thomas won the PGA Championship earlier this year, but it feels like he’s coming into the BMW under the radar. He’s been quiet. He’s been hanging around.

That’s why I like him in Delaware, coming off a T-13 at the FedEx St. Jude.

Key stats rankings this season

  • Strokes Gained: Approach: Fifth
  • Driving distance: 14th

Bets to consider:  Outright (+1500), Top 10 (+150)

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