What ten games appear to be the best bets and the best point total picks going into Week 7? Here you go. Enjoy.
Week 7 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews
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10 Best Over/Under Point Total Picks So Far: 32-31
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10. USC at Notre Dame
LINE: Notre Dame -11.5, o/u: 59.5
POINT TOTAL PICK: Under
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
This should be an interesting rivalry fight, but it’s not shaped up to be too much of a shootout. The Irish defense isn’t allowing much so far – only Georgia has scored more than 20 so far, and it only came up with 23 – and USC only gave up more than 28 in an overtime loss to BYU. This is more likely to be played in the mid-20s than roll into the 30s.
9. Old Dominion at Marshall
LINE: Marshall -14.5, o/u: 47.5
POINT TOTAL PICK: Under
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
Isaiah Green is expected to go at quarterback for the Herd, but that should only go so far against an Old Dominion defense that’s doing a decent job of keeping games close. The Herd haven’t scored more than 14 points in three of their last four games, and ODU has scored 17 points or fewer in three of its last four. It’s going to take these two to go way, way, way out of character to hit the 50-point mark.
8. Washington State at Arizona State
LINE: Arizona State -1.5, o/u: 59.5
POINT TOTAL PICK: Under
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
It seems like Washington State games should be wild-and-crazy shootouts, and in general, they’re not. That UCLA thing was an aberration. The Arizona State defense allowed more than 17 points just once, and even in the 34-31 loss to Colorado, the two teams didn’t blast past 60 points.
Wazzu’s offense struggled against Houston and didn’t go anywhere against Utah. Yeah, the Cougars put up 58 points on their own in three of the last four games, but they couldn’t do it against the terrific Ute D. The Arizona State defense will be a rock.
7. Colorado at Oregon
LINE: Oregon -23.5, o/u: 62.5
POINT TOTAL PICK: Under
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
Is this the week the Oregon offense goes off? Only one of the five Duck games so far has gone over 59 points – or come remotely close. This is a stunningly conservative team that relies on a defense that hasn’t allowed more than seven points in any of its last four games.
Of course, the thought is that Colorado will bring an offense to get Oregon out of its shell, but it’s missing some key parts from the receiving corps, and the defense has yet to allow fewer than 30 points. Every Colorado game but one has blown past the 59-point mark, but go with the Duck D over the Buff O.
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6. Texas Tech at Baylor
LINE: Baylor -10.5, o/u: 58.5
ATS PICK: Under
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
The Baylor defense keeps on delivering. Texas Tech’s offense might have exploded last week against Oklahoma State, and Baylor’s O has the ability to put up a big number – it rocked in the first two games – but it’s the D that means you want the under here. The Bears have yet to allow more than 21 points, and Iowa State is the only team to come up with more than 17.
The Texas Tech 45-point outburst against the Cowboys was more likely a blip than a regular occurrence. The Red Raiders could pull this off, but don’t expect a firefight.
NEXT: The Top Five
5. Washington at Arizona
LINE: Washington -6.5, o/u: 59.5
POINT TOTAL PICK: Under
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
The Washington defense has been fantastic, even in defeat.
The team struggled against Stanford last week, and lost 23-13. It struggled against Cal, and lost 20-19.
The offense has the ability to put up big numbers, but only against the mediocre defenses. Arizona has a mediocre defense, but it’s good enough to keep this from getting out of hand.
The Wildcats might be playing well on its four-game winning streak, but it’s not taking the offense into the stratosphere.
Think of this more like the 28-14 Arizona win over Texas Tech than the 35-30 win over Colorado last week. Expect the Huskies to continue to bring the D, expect Arizona do to enough to to keep this a tight game, and expect these two to flirt with 60 points, but not quite get there.
NEXT: Enough defensive battles … we want points … we want points …
4. Louisville at Wake Forest
LINE: Wake Forest -6.5, o/u: 64.5
POINT TOTAL PICK: Over
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
Not every Wake Forest game is a wild and crazy shootout.
It was a struggle to get the 27-24 win over Boston College, and the 24-18 win over North Carolina was a fight. The O has only blown up the weakest links on the slate, beating Utah State, Rice and Elon.
Louisville’s defense couldn’t slow down Boston College last week, it couldn’t stop Florida State the week before, and Eastern Kentucky is the only offense that didn’t get to have any fun so far. However, only one of the five Cardinal games has gone over 65 points.
Expect this game to be played in the 30s with Wake Forest getting closer to 40. There’s a good chance that these two hit each other with massive haymakers in a fun and wild game, and there’s a great chance that this gets to around 70.
NEXT: Can we get last week again?
3. Virginia at Miami
LINE: Miami -1.5, o/u: 43.5
POINT TOTAL PICK: Over
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
You’re just not asking for a whole lot here.
43.5? Virginia Tech put up 42 on Miami last week.
That was an aberration that won’t likely happen again this season, but if you think the Canes can get to 20 points at home, you should assume that the game will get closer to 50 than 40.
Four of the five Miami games this year got to 44 points or more.
Virginia has a good enough defense to make this a bit of a battle, but even in the there games it held teams to 17 points or fewer, the total went past 44. EveryVirginia game so far has gone past 44.
The Cavaliers are rested, the Canes appear to be energized after the fun comeback attempt against the Hokies, and if these two offenses play like they’re supposed to on Friday night, you’ll get this without breathing hard.
NEXT: No anger, just love …
2. Ole Miss at Missouri
LINE: Missouri -12.5, o/u: 56.5
POINT TOTAL PICK: Under
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
No, this isn’t a pick for spite.
Missouri was here last week in the No. 2 spot with the hopes of going over in its game against Troy, but the Trojan offense didn’t show up, Kelly Bryant went down, and it wasn’t even close to hitting the under.
And now the Tiger defense is fired up.
This is sort of a dedication game to LB Cale Garrett, who’s out for a while – if not the year – with a torn pectoral muscle. The Tiger defense that hasn’t allowed more than 14 points in any of its last four games should come up with an inspired effort against a middling Ole Miss team.
Week 7 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews
ACC | Big Ten | Big 12 | Pac-12 | SEC
– CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
– Week 7 Expert Picks & Predictions
– Week 7 10 Best Picks Against The Spread
– Week 7 Final Thoughts & Betting Advice
The Ole Miss defense hasn’t been that bad, either. It got ripped up by Alabama, but it has held every other FBS team on the slate to 28 points or fewer.
Kelly Bryant might be back for Mizzou, but like the Tiger defense to come up with a special something against the Rebel running game, and expect the total to be more in the 40s than the 50s.
NEXT: But the team doesn’t score …
1. Michigan at Illinois
LINE: Michigan -22.5, o/u: 49
POINT TOTAL PICK: Over
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
This … pivoted … FAST.
Talk about your market corrections, this opened at a 56-point total, rose up a bit, and then sack like a stone to settle in at 49.
Now, it’s all about Michigan. Do you believe the offense can rise up and finally put together a consistent performance against anyone other than Rutgers? Do you think that Illinois can do anything against the Michigan D?
Loved the under when it was in the 50s, adore the over as long as it stays around 49.
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Michigan’s defense has allowed just three points in the last two games and only gave up more than 21 to Wisconsin. On the other side, the Wolverine offense has been sputtering against everyone but Rutgers.
Meanwhile, Illinois has been playing a little O, but no D.
And that’s why you like the over.
The Illini gave up 34 points to Eastern Michigan, 42 to Nebraska and 40 to Minnesota over the last three games. This week, as long as former Michigan QB Brandon Peters can lead the way to a few scores, the Wolverines should be able to do the rest.
You’ll have to sweat it out a little bit, but Michigan can hit 49 all by itself.
