What ten college football games appear to be the best bets and the best picks against the spread going into Week 7? Here you go. Enjoy.
Week 7 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews
– Week 7 Schedule, Times, Lines, Previews
– CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
– Week 7 Expert Picks & Predictions: College
– Week 6 Expert Picks & Predictions: NFL
Results So Far ATS: 28-25
Click on each game for the game preview and fearless prediction.
10. Kansas at West Virginia
LINE: West Virginia -22.5
ATS PICK: West Virginia
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
This is a pick on straight principle. If Kansas finally decides to play a decent game and this doesn’t work, it’s not your fault.
West Virginia pulled off a win over Baylor, it had a few weeks to rest up, and it has the team in place to take down this win with ease over a Jayhawk team that hasn’t done anything on the lines so far.
Kansas? It lost to Baylor 47-14, got dropkicked by Oklahoma State by 40, and have lost its last seven games by double-digits. It might have pushed the Mountaineers in a 29-24 loss last year, but this year’s team is a whole lot stronger.
If it doesn’t hit the 22.5, blame West Virginia for not playing up to its level.
– Week 6 Expert Picks & Predictions: NFL
9. Cincinnati at Tulsa
LINE: Cincinnati-3.5
ATS PICK: Cincinnati
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
Yeah, Tulsa has a strong defense, and yeah, it beat UCF, and yeah, Cincinnati isn’t the type of team that’s going to come out and hang 55 on the board, but the 3.5 is a bit of an insult.
This is a steady Bearcat team that does what it does, doesn’t get rattled, and it doesn’t have a whole lot of drama. It’s 3-0 with a fantastic defense that’s had time to prepare.
Don’t expect any sort of a shootout, and Tulsa might be a fun sleeper as the American Athletic Conference season goes on – especially if it pulls this off and has wins over UCF and Cincinnati under its belt – but if you like the Bearcats to win this, the 3.5 isn’t a barrier.
8. Army at UTSA
LINE: Army -8
ATS PICK: UTSA
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
UTSA could win this thing outright, much less cover the eight points.
Can the Roadrunners stop the run? Sort of – they’re not amazing defensively, but they mostly have problems against balanced offenses, and that’s not Army.
They held up well in the 27-20 loss at BYU, and they only lost by eight to a strong UAB team on the road. Yes, there’s a chance they can’t hit the curve and Army goes Army with 450 rushing yards, but at home, they’re strong with the points.
UTSA is 2-0 at home, Army is coming off a rough 14-9 win over a bad Citadel team, and it’s 0-1 on the road, falling its one test so far against a decent team.
– Week 7 Schedule, Times, Lines, Previews
7. Ole Miss at Arkansas
LINE: Ole Miss -2.5
ATS PICK: Ole Miss
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
Are you a believer in Arkansas?
It shocked LSU, should’ve been given the win over Auburn, and it’s been one of the nicest surprises of the 2020 season under Sam Pittman.
But the offense still doesn’t work.
It’s averaging fewer than 20 points per game, it’s struggling to move the chains on third downs, and it’s dead last in the SEC in time of possession.
Ole Miss hasn’t played a lick of defense so far, but it’s offense has been unstoppable. The Hogs will have their best offensive game yet, but they’ll blink first.
– Week 7 Expert Picks & Predictions: College
6. Kentucky at Tennessee
LINE: Tennessee -6
ATS PICK: Kentucky
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
This is all about not being all that certain what Kentucky is, while also not being entirely sold that Tennessee is about to be a thing.
On a historical basis, going with UK here is an awful play. The Cats have won once over the Vols since 2011 and just twice since 1984.
1-2 this season, it got its first win because Mississippi State threw 83 picks last week in a 24-2 loss.
Tennessee struggled to get by South Carolina, got rolled by Georgia, and blew out Missouri. Against UK, the Vols should pull this off at home, but Kentucky has the style and upside to at least keep this tight, sort of like it did in last year’s 17-13 loss.
NEXT: Top 5 Picks Against The Spread, Week 7
5. Texas State at South Alabama
LINE: South Alabama -3
ATS PICK: South Alabama
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
This is nothing at all against Texas State.
The Bobcats have been two tons of fun this season with an offense that’s fast, a passing game that’s pushing it around a bit, a defense that’s active and forcing turnovers, and with a mindset that it’s time to be better at college football.
Yeah, it’s 1-4, but it hung with SMU in a seven point loss, had Boston College in big trouble in a 24-21 defeat, lost a several overtime game against UTSA partially because of kicking issues, and …
It’s 1-4.
South Alabama has lost its last two games – battling in a 27-24 loss to Tulane before getting rolled a few weeks ago by UAB – but it’s rested, it’s at home, and it should be able to win this game if the defensive line can be as good at getting into the backfield and applying pressure as it was early on.
The downfield passing game is the best in the Sun Belt so far – which is saying a lot considering the Arkansas State-Georgia State fun of Thursday night – and it has the offensive pop to never be out of this even if Texas State gets up.
Yada, yada yada … the play is the home team by more than 3.
NEXT: WKU at UAB
4. WKU at UAB
LINE: UAB -13.5
ATS PICK: WKU
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
WKU has been one of the biggest disappointments of the 2020 season.
Coming of a great strong first season and a thrilling finish under head coach Tyson Helton, the Hilltoppers are 1-3 with the lone win coming against a miserable Middle Tennessee team 20-17.
The offense continues to be a polite rumor, failing to get past 24 points so far while averaging fewer than 300 yards per game.
But the 13.5 is a bit too much.
The line is a bit overinflated after the 38-14 loss to a great Marshall team – WKU’s second loss by 14 or more in the first four games – and losing to Liberty wasn’t exactly confidence inspiring.
Meanwhile, UAB is 3-1, is still a strong favorite to at least get to the Conference USA championship – this might be the toughest remaining conference game – and only lost to Miami. However …
Central Arkansas, South Alabama, UTSA. UAB is going UAB – it’s building up a big record against teams like Central Arkansas, South Alabama, and UTSA.
It’s the 13.5 that’s a problem here. UAB should win this against a WKU team that will put up its customary 17-to-24 points, but will do enough defensively to keep this from getting out of hand.
NEXT: Boston College at Virginia Tech
3. Boston College at Virginia Tech
LINE: Virginia Tech -12.5
ATS PICK: Boston College
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
Don’t worry, Virginia Tech. You’re still loved.
This is a team good enough to potentially be a real, live challenger to Clemson for the ACC Championship if it’s ever able to field a complete team after being hit hard by COVID from the start. It’s been able to bust through the issues with wins over NC State and Duke, and it battled in the 56-45 shootout loss against North Carolina.
Oh yes, Virginia Tech, you’re still loved – just not by 12.5 points.
It’s not fair to call Boston College a flaky 3-1, but it needed everything in the bag to get by Texas State at home, lost to North Carolina, and survived in the final moments against Pitt – but the offense is working, and that’s what you’ll care about.
Notre Dame transfer QB Phil Jurkovec has been outstanding for new head coach Jeff Hafley, averaging close to 300 passing yards per game with eight touchdowns and two picks. He’s been comfortable for an offense that’s not running the ball at all.
The BC passing game is good enough to keep pressing, and that’s what matters here. Virginia Tech can and should win this – but BC is a decent money line value if you’re a believer – but the secondary has had problems so far.
Jurkovec and company should be able to throw their way within the 12.5.
NEXT: Duke at NC State
2. Duke at NC State
LINE: NC State -4.5
ATS PICK: NC State
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
Another week, another week of trying to work with whatever Duke is.
There’s been a love/hate relationship with the Blue Devils, but every time they owe us, they pay off.
After beating up and knocking out Syracuse last week and keeping it close against Virginia Tech the week before, Duke owes us.
But instead of being anti-Duke here, this is more about being pro-NC State.
The Wolfpack aren’t winning the ACC title, and they’re not a special team, but they’ve been solid with two straight road wins starting with an offense that’s finding its groove.
Oddly enough, this is the first meeting between the two since 2013, and home field doesn’t matter what it normally does – especially with the two schools just 20 miles apart – but this is the Pack’s first game in Raleigh since the opener against Wake Forest almost a month ago.
Duke is giving away turnovers like Halloween candy, and NC State will capitalize on every mistake.
All you’re asking for is an NC State by 4.5 against a Blue Devil team whose four losses are all by seven points or more.
NEXT: Pitt at Miami
1. Pitt at Miami
LINE: Miami -13.5
ATS PICK: Pitt
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line
Just how much do you care about Kenny Pickett’s ankle?
The Pitt quarterback has been terrific so far, throwing for almost 1,400 yards in five games with eight touchdown passes and three picks, but it’s not like he’s Dan Marino.
He’s not a lock to not play, but he’s definitely not 100%, at least that’s what head coach Pat Narduzzi says. That’s obviously a big problem for Pitt to win the game, but you’re looking to keep this within two touchdowns
Pitt is a whole lot more than Pickett.
It has lost two straight games by one point each, it struggled against a mediocre Louisville team, and it only beat Syracuse 21-10. However, the pass rush is the best in the ACC, the run defense is second in the nation allowing just 52 yards per game, and the offensive line is just strong enough to start doing a bit more with the ground game depending on Pickett’s status.
Miami? It’s a whole lot better than it was last year, and QB D’Eriq King has been fantastic, but there’s little downfield passing game, there hasn’t been a penalty the team hasn’t liked to commit, and the biggest key this week, there’s no control of the clock.
Miami holds the ball for just over 26 minutes per game. Pitt keeps it for around 33 minutes an outing. The Panthers can slow this thing down better than the Canes can.
And then there’s the Prove It factor.
Miami beat UAB, Louisville and Florida State. All were big national games that everyone saw, and there might have been a bit of a pumped up factor here because the Canes didn’t sputter like they did last year.
Clemson exposed all of that.
Again, it’s not about Miami losing – although, the money line on Pitt is a sweet value – but it’s about the 13.5.
