Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has officially qualified for the ballot in Michigan, a crucial battleground state that could play a significant role in determining the outcome of the 2024 presidential election. Kennedy, along with his running mate Nicole Shanahan, was nominated by the Natural Law Party, a minor party with ballot access in the state. The Michigan Secretary of State’s office confirmed the approval of Kennedy's nomination, ensuring his presence on the state's ballot.
Michigan's electoral landscape is highly contested, with both President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump vying for support in the state. Recent polling data shows Kennedy polling at 12% among Michigan voters, trailing Trump at 39% and Biden at 37% in a hypothetical six-candidate ballot scenario. In a head-to-head matchup between Trump and Biden, Trump leads with 48% support compared to Biden's 45%.
Michigan has historically supported Democratic nominees in presidential elections, with the exception of Trump's narrow victory in 2016. The state's electoral significance is underscored by its history of close races, with outcomes decided by slim margins.
The presence of Kennedy on the ballot introduces a new dynamic to the race, drawing attention from both major parties. The Democratic National Committee has launched a campaign linking Kennedy to Trump, citing donations to Kennedy's super PAC from GOP megadonor Timothy Mellon. The DNC's efforts to discredit Kennedy highlight the perceived threat he poses to Biden's support base.
Michigan's diverse electorate includes a substantial group of pro-Palestinian voters who have expressed discontent with Biden's policies. Recent grassroots movements in the state have garnered significant support, reflecting the potential for shifts in voter sentiment.
Kennedy's ballot access extends beyond Michigan, with qualifications in multiple states including Utah. The American Values 2024 super PAC, supporting Kennedy's candidacy, has faced allegations of illegal coordination with the Kennedy campaign, prompting a complaint from the DNC to the Federal Election Commission.
As the 2024 presidential race unfolds, Kennedy's presence on the ballot in key states like Michigan adds complexity to the electoral landscape, setting the stage for a closely contested election.